# Will the Clarity Act (H.R.3633) be signed into law in 2026? A legislative-process market: the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act must pass both chambers and be signed by 31 December 2026. The evidence assembled here tracks the bill's progress and the positions taken around it. Legislative markets turn on floor time and calendar rather than on public sentiment, and the retrieved evidence speaks more to the former than the latter. - Canonical page: https://market-claims.com/briefs/clarity-act-2026 - Category: politics - Evidence collected: 24 September 2026 - Research dated: 24 September 2026 - Published: 24 September 2026 - Market: Polymarket, https://polymarket.com/event/clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026 - Venue YES price: 6.3c at 24 September 2026 - Market closes: 1 January 2027 Research only. Not financial advice. No trades are placed. The price is the venue's own market price at the snapshot time, shown as context only. It is not an estimate by MarketClaims. **This is an older research snapshot. It may miss subsequent developments.** ## The question, as the venue words it Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? ## How this market settles Resolves Yes if H.R.3633 is passed by both chambers of Congress and signed into law by 31 December 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the Congress.gov legislation tracker. ## Evidence you can inspect _These labels describe how a claim relates to the question. They are not recommendations or independent votes._ ### Evidence supporting YES (1 claim) - "Sen. Angela Alsobrooks of Maryland said the Clarity Act is not going to die and that lawmakers have a responsibility to regulate the unregulated crypto industry" [CRYPTONEWSBYTES.COM](https://cryptonewsbytes.com/will-clarity-act-setback-shift-crypto-to-regulators/), published 19 September 2026 ### Evidence challenging YES (4 claims) - "Bitcoin supera 80.000 dólares y Trump pierde la Clarity Act. Por favor, acepte las cookies de marketing para ver las integraciones de X (Twitter). ¿Por qué los expertos en criptomonedas culpan a Trump por el fracaso de la Ley de Claridad? Esta es la parte que cambió en las últimas 24 horas. El primer instinto de la industria fue culpar a los demócratas del" [cryptoticker.io](https://cryptoticker.io/es/bitcoin-80000-dolares-trump-clarity-act/), published 19 September 2026 - "تحديات تنظيم العملات المشفرة في الولايات المتحدة 2026. تلقى قطاع العملات المشفرة في الولايات المتحدة ضربة تشريعية، بعدما أخفق مجلس الشيوخ، في 15 أيلول/سبتمبر 2026، في تمرير إجراء يسمح بمواصلة مناقشة مشروع "قانون وضوح سوق الأصول الرقمية"، المعروف باسم "كلاريتي" (CLARITY Act). لا يبدأ التنظيم الأميركي للعملات المشفرة من الصفر. في تموز/يوليو 2025، وقّع ال" [annahar.com](https://www.annahar.com/economy/348954/%d9%85%d8%ac%d9%84%d8%b3-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b4%d9%8a%d9%88%d8%ae-%d9%8a%d8%b9%d8%b7%d9%84-%d9%82%d8%a7%d9%86%d9%88%d9%86-%d8%aa%d9%86%d8%b8%d9%8a%d9%85-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%83%d8%b1%d9%8a%d8%a8%d8%aa%d9%88-%d9%84%d9%85%d8%a7%d8%b0%d8%a7-%d9%81%d8%b4%d9%84-%d9%85%d8%b4%d8%b1%d9%88%d8%b9-%d9%83%d9%84%d8%a7%d8%b1%d9%8a%d8%aa%d9%8a), published 19 September 2026 - "Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan Adjusts His Crypto Outlook After the Senate Vote. Here's What He Changed - AOL. In a memo, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan compared the CLARITY Act to crypto's Punxsutawney Phil, suggesting a failed Senate vote would lead to prolonged stagnation for the sector. The bill was defeated on September 15, 2026, by a vote of 49 to 50. The next day, he withdrew his warnin" [Aol](https://www.aol.com/articles/bitwise-cio-matt-hougan-adjusts-233010000.html), published 18 September 2026 - "The US Senate declined to advance debate on the CLARITY Act through a 49-to-50 vote held on Tuesday, September 15, 2026" [Crypto Economy](https://crypto-economy.com/galaxy-crypto-can-keep-moving-as-clarity-act-stalls-in-senate/), published 19 September 2026 ### Context (7 claims) - "The Senate failed to advance the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (H.R. 3633) on Tuesday, September 15, with a procedural motion receiving 49 votes in favor and 50 against, falling short of the 60 votes needed to overcome a filibuster" [Crypto Economy](https://crypto-economy.com/clarity-act-blocked-but-u-s-crypto-regulation-keeps-moving/), published 19 September 2026 - "Scott Melker noted that the Clarity Act had broad public support and bipartisan backing in the House of Representatives but faced opposition in the Senate due to partisan dynamics" [SSBCrack News](https://news.ssbcrack.com/clarity-act-fails-to-advance-in-senate-amid-partisan-politics/), published 19 September 2026 - "Republicans argued that Democrats were not serious about passing the Clarity Act, while Democrats stated that Republican leaders forced the vote before negotiations were complete" [CRYPTONEWSBYTES.COM](https://cryptonewsbytes.com/will-clarity-act-setback-shift-crypto-to-regulators/), published 19 September 2026 - "A Democratic staffer told Crypto In America that Sen. Thom Tillis was willing to delay the vote on the Clarity Act to continue negotiations" [CRYPTONEWSBYTES.COM](https://cryptonewsbytes.com/will-clarity-act-setback-shift-crypto-to-regulators/), published 19 September 2026 - "Democrats voted together against advancing the Clarity Act, joined by Republican Sens. Susan Collins of Maine, Josh Hawley of Missouri, and Jerry Moran of Kansas" [CRYPTONEWSBYTES.COM](https://cryptonewsbytes.com/will-clarity-act-setback-shift-crypto-to-regulators/), published 19 September 2026 - "Sen. Thom Tillis of North Carolina initially voted yes on the Clarity Act, then switched to no in a procedural move" [CRYPTONEWSBYTES.COM](https://cryptonewsbytes.com/will-clarity-act-setback-shift-crypto-to-regulators/), published 19 September 2026 - "The Senate failed to advance the Clarity Act in a 49-50 vote, falling short of the 60 votes needed" [CRYPTONEWSBYTES.COM](https://cryptonewsbytes.com/will-clarity-act-setback-shift-crypto-to-regulators/), published 19 September 2026 ## What this brief cannot settle Congress.gov is the authoritative record and should be checked directly before acting on anything here; news reporting on bill progress lags and frequently conflates committee action with floor action. Every claim was checked against its source page; none were removed. - The market title says 'signed into law in 2026' but the description specifies the deadline as December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET — these are consistent but the title omits the exact deadline. - No explicit clarification on whether a pocket signing or other non-standard signing method would satisfy the 'signed into law' condition. - Resolution may rely on 'other credible reporting' in addition to Congress.gov, introducing potential subjectivity in source selection. - No explicit mention of what happens if the bill is passed with significant amendments that change its identity or title. ## Publication history - Published 24 September 2026; research dated 24 September 2026. ## Since the previous brief This is the first published brief for this event. No comparison is available. --- The same research can be run on any Polymarket or Kalshi market at https://market-claims.com.