# Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? 30 dated claims from 19 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 4 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief. - Canonical page: https://market-claims.com/briefs/iran-charges-hormuz-fees-byptptpt-20260625175035466-2301b5f0 - Category: geopolitics - Evidence collected: 10 November 2026 - Research dated: 10 November 2026 - Published: 10 November 2026 - Market: Polymarket, https://polymarket.com/event/iran-charges-hormuz-fees-byptptpt-20260625175035466#0xed7a65f4096c5b4c45a854562ac259d8e42ef5094ef4ee833867d57b2df67238 - Venue YES price: 9.0c at 10 November 2026 - Market closes: 1 January 2027 Research only. Not financial advice. No trades are placed. The price is the venue's own market price at the snapshot time, shown as context only. It is not an estimate by MarketClaims. **This is an older research snapshot. It may miss subsequent developments.** ## The question, as the venue words it Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? ## How this market settles This market resolves to “Yes” if the Iranian government officially announces and begins collecting fees, tolls, charges, tariffs, or similar payments from commercial vessels which are mandatory for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves to “No.” A qualifying fee must be an announced policy which applies generally to all commercial vessels, or a defined subcategory of commercial vessels (e.g., vessels flagged to the US and its allies). Isolated demanded charges will not qualify. A fee is mandatory if, in practice, affected commercial vessels cannot transit or access the Strait of Hormuz without paying it, regardless of whether Iran characterizes the payment as voluntary or a fee for services. Fees described as tolls, maritime fees, service charges, environmental fees, security fees, insurance charges, etc. will qualify provided they are recognized as mandatory for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz by a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., a mandatory insurance fee charged by the Iranian Persian Gulf Strait Authority would qualify). Both of the following are required to occur prior to the specified date, 11:59 PM ET to satisfy this market’s resolution criteria: 1) An official announcement from the Iranian government that such a fee is being, or will be, implemented. 2) A consensus of credible reporting that collection of the fee has begun. Fees charged by Oman, the United Arab Emirates, shipping insurers, private companies, or other non-Iranian entities do not qualify unless charged jointly with Iran, or if Iran directly receives the fee or controls the charging entity. Normal port fees, customs duties, sanctions-related costs, or shipping surcharges do not alone qualify. The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of Iran and consensus of credible reporting. ## Evidence you can inspect _These labels describe how a claim relates to the question. They are not recommendations or independent votes._ ### Evidence supporting YES (4 claims) - "Indian and Chinese ships will have to pay a fee to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, while Qatari ships can use this route without any charges" [तरुण भरत दैनिक](https://www.tarunbharat.com/iran-allows-indian-ships-to-pass-through-strait-of-hormuz/), published 5 November 2026 - "A shipbroker indicated that some vessels crossing the Strait of Hormuz with Iranian coordination are paying Tehran a fee for safe passage" [argusmedia.com](https://www.argusmedia.com/en/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2901277-four-countries-have-hormuz-exemptions-iran-lawmaker), published 6 November 2026 - "It remains uncertain whether Iraqi vessels will be required to pay transit fees, as Iran plans to collect these fees from some nations" [Iraqi News](https://www.iraqinews.com/iraq/iran-exempts-iraq-from-strait-of-hormuz-restrictions-as-oil-exports-rise/), published 6 November 2026 - "The PGSA has warned that designated vessels face restrictions on future 'unauthorised' Strait of Hormuz (SOH) passages, including fines, detention, or confiscation" [Ambrey](https://ambrey.com/operations/event/iran-strait-of-hormuz-vessel-blacklist/), published 6 November 2026 ### Evidence challenging YES (0 claims) _No claims in this category. Absence here is a coverage limit, not a finding._ ### Context (26 claims) - "Since the Iran war started, attacks on commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz have put crews at risk of death and injury" [Deutsche Welle](https://www.dw.com/en/strait-of-hormuz-still-a-source-of-leverage-for-iran/a-79901647), published 9 November 2026 - "The US military, through CENTCOM, has provided escort support for over 3,000 commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz safely in the past six months" [VietnamPlus](https://www.vietnamplus.vn/iran-mien-tru-iraq-khoi-cac-han-che-qua-eo-bien-hormuz-khi-xuat-khau-dau-mo-tang-post1146893.vnp), published 7 November 2026 - "The practical risk of attack remains tied to Strait of Hormuz transit activity, with 'unauthorised' SOH transits being the primary driving factor behind Iranian targeting decisions" [Ambrey](https://ambrey.com/operations/event/iran-strait-of-hormuz-vessel-blacklist/), published 6 November 2026 - "Ali Mohammadi told DW, "Even if a complete closure of the Strait of Hormuz were possible, it would not be sustainable because it could carry high political costs for Iran" [Deutsche Welle](https://www.dw.com/en/strait-of-hormuz-still-a-source-of-leverage-for-iran/a-79901647), published 9 November 2026 - "Ali Mohammadi stated, "Iran's limitation in the Strait of Hormuz is economic rather than military, because continuing the war has a significant impact on its economy" [Deutsche Welle](https://www.dw.com/en/strait-of-hormuz-still-a-source-of-leverage-for-iran/a-79901647), published 9 November 2026 - "Iran's ability to sustain attacks and the limits of US protection will determine how much trade can continue through the Strait of Hormuz and at what price" [Deutsche Welle](https://www.dw.com/en/strait-of-hormuz-still-a-source-of-leverage-for-iran/a-79901647), published 9 November 2026 - "A senior Iranian official stated on Tuesday that commercial vessels from India, China, Iraq, and Qatar have been exempted from transit restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz and can pass freely" [星島頭條網](https://www.stheadline.com/realtime-world/3634466/%e4%bc%8a%e6%9c%97%e7%b6%ad%e8%ad%b7%e5%85%b1%e5%90%8c%e5%88%a9%e7%9b%8a-%e5%85%81%e4%b8%ad%e5%8d%b0%e7%ad%89%e5%9b%9b%e5%9c%8b%e9%80%9a%e8%a1%8c%e9%9c%8d%e7%88%be%e6%9c%a8%e8%8c%b2%e6%b5%b7%e5%b3%bd), published 7 November 2026 - "Despite Iran's exemption for Iraqi vessels to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, safety is not guaranteed due to ongoing military tensions and attacks on commercial shipping in the Persian Gulf" [VietnamPlus](https://www.vietnamplus.vn/iran-mien-tru-iraq-khoi-cac-han-che-qua-eo-bien-hormuz-khi-xuat-khau-dau-mo-tang-post1146893.vnp), published 7 November 2026 - "Iran has confirmed that Iraqi vessels are permitted to transit the Strait of Hormuz, allowing them to navigate this crucial waterway despite ongoing regional conflict disruptions" [VietnamPlus](https://www.vietnamplus.vn/iran-mien-tru-iraq-khoi-cac-han-che-qua-eo-bien-hormuz-khi-xuat-khau-dau-mo-tang-post1146893.vnp), published 7 November 2026 - "Iran has granted exemptions from transit restrictions on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz to four countries: India, China, Iraq, and Qatar" [Lankasri News](https://news.lankasri.com/article/iran-grants-access-in-hormuz-for-india-china-iraq-1793940786), published 6 November 2026 - "Amir Moqaddam, Deputy Head of the Iranian Parliament's National Security and Foreign Policy Committee, stated on Tuesday that Iraq, China, India, and Qatar have been granted exemptions allowing their vessels to pass through the Strait of Hormuz" [Iraqi News](https://www.iraqinews.com/iraq/iran-exempts-iraq-from-strait-of-hormuz-restrictions-as-oil-exports-rise/), published 6 November 2026 - "Iran imposed restrictions on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz after the start of the US-Israel war on Iran in February" [South China Morning Post](https://www.scmp.com/economy/article/3373531/strait-hormuz-chinese-ships-get-free-pass-iranian-official-says), published 6 November 2026 - "Iran is allowing commercial ships from China and three other countries to pass through the Strait of Hormuz without transit restrictions" [stockbiz.vn](https://stockbiz.vn/tin-tuc/iran-uu-tien-tau-trung-quoc-qua-eo-bien-hormuz/42686316), published 6 November 2026 - "An official in the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy announced on Monday that enemy navigation support systems in the southern Strait of Hormuz were destroyed" [شبكة الميادين](https://www.almayadeen.net/news/politics/%d8%a5%d9%8a%d8%b1%d8%a7%d9%86-%d9%84%d9%85-%d8%aa%d9%85%d8%b1-%d8%a3%d9%8a-%d8%b3%d9%81%d9%8a%d9%86%d8%a9-%d8%a8%d9%84%d8%a7-%d8%aa%d8%b5%d8%b1%d9%8a%d8%ad-%d8%b9%d8%a8%d8%b1-%d9%87%d8%b1%d9%85%d8%b2-%d9%84%d9%8a%d9%84%d8%a7-%d8%a8%d8%b9%d8%af-%d8%aa%d8%af%d9%85%d9%8a%d8%b1-%d8%a3%d9%86%d8%b8%d9%85), published 9 November 2026 - "Iranian Parliamentarian Amir Hayat Moqaddam, Deputy Chairman of the National Security and Foreign Policy Committee, announced that Iran has decided to allow merchant ships from China, India, Iraq, and Qatar to travel freely through the Strait of Hormuz without restrictions" [VOV.vn](https://vov.vn/the-gioi/iran-cho-phep-tau-cua-4-nuoc-di-qua-eo-hormuz-post1347103.vov), published 4 November 2026 - "After approximately eight months, Iran has permitted Indian ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz" [तरुण भरत दैनिक](https://www.tarunbharat.com/iran-allows-indian-ships-to-pass-through-strait-of-hormuz/), published 5 November 2026 - "Ahmad Hayat-Moghaddam, vice-chairman of the Iranian Parliament's National Security and Foreign Policy Committee, stated that Iran has 'pardoned' India, China, Iraq, and Qatar regarding the Strait of Hormuz, meaning they are free to navigate the waterway from Iran's perspective" [Economic Times](https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/iran-exempts-indian-ships-from-hormuz-restrictions-amid-tensions-with-us/articleshow/135534398.cms), published 4 November 2026 - "Amir Hayat Moqaddam, deputy chairman of the Iranian parliament's National Security and Foreign Policy Committee, stated that India, China, Iraq, and Qatar are exempted from transit restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz, and ships from these countries pass freely without interception by Americans" [mint](https://www.livemint.com/economy/india-gets-strait-of-hormuz-passage-reprieve-from-iran-what-does-tehran-expect-in-return-11793871532686.html), published 5 November 2026 - "Iran has exempted India, China, Iraq, and Qatar from transit restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz, allowing their energy vessels to pass freely without interception by American forces" [Polymerupdate](https://www.polymerupdate.com/news/details/1518501), published 6 November 2026 - "Amir Hayat Moqaddam, the Deputy Chairman of the Iranian Parliament's National Security and Foreign Policy Committee, stated that ships from these four countries are permitted to transit the Strait of Hormuz" [TribunStyle.com](https://style.tribunnews.com/internasional/389381/iran-beri-pengecualian-kapal-4-negara-di-selat-hormuz-india-hingga-china-punya-kepentingan-khusus), published 7 November 2026 - "Moqaddam told the Iranian Students' News Agency (ISNA) on Tuesday (November 3, 2026) that "We have currently exempted India, China, Iraq, and Qatar from transit restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz. Ships from these countries can pass freely, and the Americans also do not intercept them" [TribunStyle.com](https://style.tribunnews.com/internasional/389381/iran-beri-pengecualian-kapal-4-negara-di-selat-hormuz-india-hingga-china-punya-kepentingan-khusus), published 7 November 2026 - "Data from the UK Maritime Trade Operations Center shows 325 reported transits through Hormuz between October 29 and November 4, an increase from the previous week but still roughly 65% below pre-war levels" [Deutsche Welle](https://www.dw.com/en/strait-of-hormuz-still-a-source-of-leverage-for-iran/a-79901647), published 9 November 2026 - "Attacks in the Strait of Hormuz have put crews at risk and driven up energy shipping costs" [Deutsche Welle](https://www.dw.com/en/strait-of-hormuz-still-a-source-of-leverage-for-iran/a-79901647), published 9 November 2026 - "Amir Hayat Moghaddam, the Vice Chairman of the Iranian Parliament's National Security and Foreign Policy Committee, announced that ships from India, China, Iraq, and Qatar have been exempted from restrictions on passing through the Strait of Hormuz" [punjabkesari](https://m.punjabkesari.in/national/news/iran-allows-indian-ships-free-passage-through-hormuz-2396773), published 5 November 2026 - "Iran has exempted ships from India, China, Iraq, and Qatar from transit restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz, according to Amir Hayat Moqaddam, deputy chairman of the Iranian parliament's National Security and Foreign Policy Committee" [Anadolu Ajansı](https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-exempts-ships-from-india-china-iraq-qatar-from-hormuz-transit-restrictions-lawmaker/4110513), published 3 November 2026 - "Iran disrupts commercial navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, spikes global energy costs, and then demands an end to the US blockade, the restoration of oil export waivers, and the release of frozen assets to restore the status quo ante" [World Israel News](https://worldisraelnews.com/how-iran-is-using-the-strait-of-hormuz-to-extort-the-west/), published 6 November 2026 ## What this brief cannot settle This brief was assembled automatically from a research report that met a published quality bar. No individual review. It rests on 30 claims from 19 publishers; anything not reported in those sources is not represented here. The report recorded 6 resolution risks, listed with this brief. - 'Consensus of credible reporting' is subjective — no specific number of sources or named outlets defined, leaving room for dispute about what constitutes consensus - 'Official announcement from the Iranian government' is not tied to a specific government body or official channel, creating ambiguity about which Iranian entities qualify - The deadline timezone is specified as ET but the end date metadata is in UTC (2027-01-01T04:59:00Z), which could cause confusion about the exact cutoff moment - The year of the end date (2027) appears inconsistent with a 'December 31' deadline that might be intended for 2024 or 2025, creating ambiguity about which December 31 is the target - 'Mandatory in practice' is a functional rather than formal standard, requiring interpretation of real-world enforcement that may be difficult to assess definitively - The phrase 'defined subcategory of commercial vessels' leaves open what constitutes a sufficiently defined subcategory versus an arbitrary grouping ## Publication history - Published 10 November 2026; research dated 10 November 2026. ## Since the previous brief This is the first published brief for this event. No comparison is available. --- The same research can be run on any Polymarket or Kalshi market at https://market-claims.com.