# Will the number of Republican Representatives voting Yea on the first House vote on adopting a resolution or article impeaching Pete Hegseth be at least 1 before Jan 3, 2027? 30 dated claims from 16 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 17 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 8 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief. - Canonical page: https://market-claims.com/briefs/kxgophegsethimpeachvotes-27jan03-a5a23ab4 - Category: politics - Evidence collected: 8 November 2026 - Research dated: 8 November 2026 - Published: 8 November 2026 - Market: Kalshi, https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgophegsethimpeachvotes/how-many-house-republicans-will-vote-to-impeach-pete-hegseth/kxgophegsethimpeachvotes-27jan03#kxgophegsethimpeachvotes-27jan03-al1 - Venue YES price: 74.0c at 8 November 2026 - Market closes: 3 January 2027 Research only. Not financial advice. No trades are placed. The price is the venue's own market price at the snapshot time, shown as context only. It is not an estimate by MarketClaims. **This is an older research snapshot. It may miss subsequent developments.** ## The question, as the venue words it Will the number of Republican Representatives voting Yea on the first House vote on adopting a resolution or article impeaching Pete Hegseth be at least 1 before Jan 3, 2027? ## How this market settles If the number of Republican Representatives voting Yea on the first House vote on adopting a resolution or article impeaching Pete Hegseth is at least 1 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The vote that counts is the first recorded House vote on adopting a resolution or an article of impeachment against Pete Hegseth, whether or not the House adopts it. If the articles are voted on separately, the vote on the first article counts. Only Yea votes by Representatives listed as Republicans in the Clerk of the House's roll call for that vote count. Does NOT count: A vote on a motion to table, refer, postpone or otherwise dispose of an impeachment resolution, or on a special rule or the previous question A committee vote If there is no such vote before Jan 3, 2027, the number is zero. ## Evidence you can inspect _These labels describe how a claim relates to the question. They are not recommendations or independent votes._ ### Evidence supporting YES (17 claims) - "Republican Representative Thomas Massie from Kentucky announced last week that he would introduce an impeachment proposal as soon as the House reconvenes" [Het Laatste Nieuws](https://www.hln.be/buitenland/pete-hegseth-moet-weg-fractieleider-van-democraten-steunt-afzettingsprocedure-tegen-minister-van-defensie~a73bd4e8/), published 8 November 2026 - "The House of Representatives is expected to vote this week on a resolution to impeach U.S. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, following the Republican Party's defeat in the midterm elections" [NewsIT](https://www.newsit.gr/kosmos/axios-o-xegkseth-kindyneyei-me-parapompi-i-orgi-repoumpliakanon-meta-tin-eklogiki-itta-me-fonto-ton-polemo-sto-iran/4818078/), published 8 November 2026 - "Republican Representative Thomas Massie of Kentucky stated last week that he would "absolutely" reintroduce articles of impeachment against Hegseth when the House reconvenes" [القدس العربي](https://www.alquds.co.uk/%d8%b2%d8%b9%d9%8a%d9%85-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%af%d9%8a%d9%85%d9%82%d8%b1%d8%a7%d8%b7%d9%8a%d9%8a%d9%86-%d9%81%d9%8a-%d9%85%d8%ac%d9%84%d8%b3-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%86%d9%88%d8%a7%d8%a8-%d8%ac%d9%8a%d9%81%d8%b1/), published 8 November 2026 - "Another House Republican indicated that many Republicans, including those who lost re-election and those displeased with Hegseth's testimony, would support his impeachment" [Yahoo](https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/why-pete-hegseth-seems-awfully-193326436.html), published 6 November 2026 - "Republican Rep. Thomas Massie plans to press for consideration of his impeachment resolution against Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth during the week of November 9th" [International Business Times UK](https://www.ibtimes.co.uk/massie-impeachment-resolution-pete-hegseth-1830891), published 8 November 2026 - "Leaders in the House of Representatives are considering a historic and pivotal vote this week on the potential impeachment of Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth" [جنوبية](https://janoubia.com/2026/11/08/%d8%aa%d9%85%d8%b1%d8%af-%d8%af%d8%a7%d8%ae%d9%84-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%ad%d8%b2%d8%a8-%d9%86%d9%88%d8%a7%d8%a8-%d8%ac%d9%85%d9%87%d9%88%d8%b1%d9%8a%d9%88%d9%86-%d9%8a%d8%ad%d8%b1%d9%83%d9%88%d9%86-%d9%85/), published 8 November 2026 - "Jeffries, a federal representative from New York who is likely to become the new Speaker of the House, expressed his support in an interview with ABC News for the resolution that Republican congressman Thomas Massie will present this week to impeach the official in charge of the US offensive against Iran" [infobae](https://www.infobae.com/america/agencias/2026/11/08/lider-democrata-del-congreso-respalda-juicio-politico-contra-secretario-de-guerra/), published 8 November 2026 - "One House Republican told MS NOW that they believe the numbers are sufficient to support Hegseth's impeachment, stating, "I think he's been incompetent. It's been all about bravado and not about strategy" [MS NOW](https://www.ms.now/rachel-maddow-show/maddowblog/hegseth-impeachment-massie-congress-republicans-house-gop-senate), published 6 November 2026 - "Rep. Thomas Massie is preparing to initiate an impeachment effort against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth next week" [The Hill](https://thehill.com/homenews/house/6204559-comer-questions-hegseth-pentagon/), published 6 November 2026 - "Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, who is likely to face an impeachment request in Congress in the coming weeks, released a video message on Thursday (5) defending his tenure and promising to fight to remain in office" [Folha de S.Paulo](https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/mundo/2026/11/secretario-de-trump-ignora-risco-de-impeachment-e-defende-guerra-no-ira-como-ato-de-heroismo-dos-eua.shtml), published 6 November 2026 - "Kentucky Rep. Thomas Massie intends to reintroduce a privileged resolution to impeach Pete Hegseth as early as Monday, which contains eight articles of impeachment" [WKJC FM 104.7](https://wkjc.com/politics/71eabb9a08a6f624ffdc7b5014a05ec7), published 8 November 2026 - "Representative Thomas Massie (R-Ky.) is the author of the impeachment resolution against Pete Hegseth" [New York Post](https://nypost.com/2026/11/08/us-news/hakeem-jeffries-gloats-that-hes-a-hard-yes-on-another-trump-impeachment/), published 8 November 2026 - "Democrats in the House plan to discuss the impeachment proposal on Tuesday, their first meeting since winning the majority in both houses of Congress in the midterm elections" [Het Laatste Nieuws](https://www.hln.be/buitenland/pete-hegseth-moet-weg-fractieleider-van-democraten-steunt-afzettingsprocedure-tegen-minister-van-defensie~a73bd4e8/), published 8 November 2026 - "A House Republican told MS NOW that they believe the numbers are sufficient to pass the impeachment resolution and that they would be 'inclined' to support it, stating, 'I think he's been incompetent. It's been all about bravado and not about strategy" [Yahoo](https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/why-pete-hegseth-seems-awfully-193326436.html), published 6 November 2026 - "Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.) intends to introduce a resolution of impeachment against the defense secretary, Pete Hegseth" [The Hill](https://thehill.com/homenews/house/6206617-jeffries-supports-hegseth-impeachment/), published 8 November 2026 - "House Republican leaders cut short the chamber's pre-election session nearly two months ago without official explanation, but the perceived reason was that Republican Rep. Thomas Massie of Kentucky was planning to force a vote on impeaching Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, and it was believed the vote would pass" [MS NOW](https://www.ms.now/rachel-maddow-show/maddowblog/hegseth-impeachment-massie-congress-republicans-house-gop-senate), published 6 November 2026 - "The House is scheduled to vote next week on impeachment articles against Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, which were filed by Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY)" [Washington Examiner](https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/house/4796359/james-comer-lot-of-questions-hegseth/), published 7 November 2026 ### Evidence challenging YES (0 claims) _No claims in this category. Absence here is a coverage limit, not a finding._ ### Context (13 claims) - "Pete Hegseth stated in a social media video that a "disgruntled, defeated congressman, along with all his Democrat allies, has also dropped sham articles of impeachment against yours truly, just like they tried against President Trump twice" [WKJC FM 104.7](https://wkjc.com/politics/71eabb9a08a6f624ffdc7b5014a05ec7), published 8 November 2026 - "Hakeem Jeffries, the leading candidate to lead the U.S. House of Representatives after Democrats take control of Congress in January, stated that he "fully agrees" with initiating impeachment proceedings against Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth" [Shekulli](https://shekulli.com.al/demokratet-ne-dhomen-e-perfaqesuesve-plotesisht-dakord-per-shkarkimin-e-hegseth-i29416), published 8 November 2026 - "Hakeem Jeffries believes there will be "incredibly strong support" for the resolution to impeach Pete Hegseth among House Democrats" [WKJC FM 104.7](https://wkjc.com/politics/71eabb9a08a6f624ffdc7b5014a05ec7), published 8 November 2026 - "House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries stated on ABC News that he is "a hard yes" on impeaching Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth" [WKJC FM 104.7](https://wkjc.com/politics/71eabb9a08a6f624ffdc7b5014a05ec7), published 8 November 2026 - "Hakeem Jeffries, the leader of the Democrats in the House of Representatives, endorsed an impeachment trial against the United States Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth, on Sunday" [infobae](https://www.infobae.com/america/agencias/2026/11/08/lider-democrata-del-congreso-respalda-juicio-politico-contra-secretario-de-guerra/), published 8 November 2026 - "House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) stated on Sunday that he is a "hard yes" regarding the impeachment of Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth" [The Hill](https://thehill.com/homenews/house/6206617-jeffries-supports-hegseth-impeachment/), published 8 November 2026 - "House Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries supports an impeachment procedure against US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth" [Het Laatste Nieuws](https://www.hln.be/buitenland/pete-hegseth-moet-weg-fractieleider-van-democraten-steunt-afzettingsprocedure-tegen-minister-van-defensie~a73bd4e8/), published 8 November 2026 - "House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries stated on ABC's "This Week" that he is a "hard yes" on impeaching Secretary of War Pete Hegseth" [New York Post](https://nypost.com/2026/11/08/us-news/hakeem-jeffries-gloats-that-hes-a-hard-yes-on-another-trump-impeachment/), published 8 November 2026 - "Jeffries stated, "The alleged Secretary of Defense has abused his power, undermined our national security, and orchestrated this reckless and costly war by choice against Iran, which has driven up prices for the American people and made the country less safe. Pete Hegseth has to go" [infobae](https://www.infobae.com/america/agencias/2026/11/08/lider-democrata-del-congreso-respalda-juicio-politico-contra-secretario-de-guerra/), published 8 November 2026 - "Hakeem Jeffries, the likely next Speaker of the House, stated in an ABC News interview on December 8th (local time) that he strongly supports the impeachment of Pete Hegseth, the US Secretary of War" [First-Class 경제신문 파이낸셜뉴스](https://www.fnnews.com/news/202611090705492204), published 8 November 2026 - "The articles of impeachment accuse Hegseth of abusing his authority in overseeing US military operations, particularly the war in Iran, and allege violations of the 1973 War Powers Resolution" [International Business Times UK](https://www.ibtimes.co.uk/massie-impeachment-resolution-pete-hegseth-1830891), published 8 November 2026 - "On Thursday, Pete Hegseth responded to impeachment threats in a video posted on X, stating that "a disgruntled, defeated congressman, along with all his Democrat allies, has also dropped sham articles of impeachment against yours truly" [The Hill](https://thehill.com/homenews/house/6206617-jeffries-supports-hegseth-impeachment/), published 8 November 2026 - "CNN predicts that the Democratic Party will gain control of the House of Representatives from the Republican Party" [Báo điện tử Tiền Phong](https://tienphong.vn/cap-nhat-cnn-du-doan-dang-dan-chu-gianh-ha-vien-tu-tay-dang-cong-hoa-post1891254.tpo), published 4 November 2026 ## What this brief cannot settle This brief was assembled automatically from a research report that met a published quality bar. No individual review. It rests on 30 claims from 16 publishers; anything not reported in those sources is not represented here. The report recorded 4 resolution risks, listed with this brief. - The definition of 'Republican' relies on the Clerk of the House's party designation at the time of the vote, which could differ from other sources if a member switches parties close to the vote. - If multiple articles are voted on separately, only the first article's vote counts, but determining which article is 'first' could be ambiguous if votes occur simultaneously or in rapid succession. - The cutoff time of Jan 3, 2027 at 13:59:00Z may create timezone ambiguity for votes occurring near that boundary. - It is unclear whether a vote on a 'resolution' covers all impeachment-related resolutions or only those specifically adopting articles of impeachment, though the description does clarify exclusions. ## Publication history - Published 8 November 2026; research dated 8 November 2026. ## Since the previous brief This is the first published brief for this event. No comparison is available. --- The same research can be run on any Polymarket or Kalshi market at https://market-claims.com.