# Will there be more than 300 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Nov 16, 2026 to Nov 22, 2026? (Above 300) 30 dated claims from 5 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 19 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 14 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief. - Canonical page: https://market-claims.com/briefs/kxsuezweekly-26nov22-3878a6ed - Category: politics - Evidence collected: 14 November 2026 - Research dated: 14 November 2026 - Published: 14 November 2026 - Market: Kalshi, https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsuezweekly/traffic-through-the-suez-canal-11-16-11-22/kxsuezweekly-26nov22#kxsuezweekly-26nov22-t300 - Venue YES price: 60.0c at 14 November 2026 - Market closes: 24 November 2026 Research only. Not financial advice. No trades are placed. The price is the venue's own market price at the snapshot time, shown as context only. It is not an estimate by MarketClaims. ## The question, as the venue words it Will there be more than 300 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Nov 16, 2026 to Nov 22, 2026? (Above 300) ## How this market settles If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 300 from Nov 16, 2026 to Nov 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 16, 2026 to Nov 22, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available. ## Evidence you can inspect _These labels describe how a claim relates to the question. They are not recommendations or independent votes._ ### Evidence supporting YES (19 claims) - "Suez Canal Authority (SCA) Chairman Osama Rabie announced on Sunday that the Evergreen shipping line resumed transits through the canal" [Egyptian Gazette](https://egyptian-gazette.com/egypt/evergreen-resumes-suez-canal-transits-after-nearly-3-year-hiatus/), published 8 November 2026 - "The mega container ship EVER EON, belonging to the EVERGREEN shipping line, made its first transit through the Suez Canal on Sunday, marking the shipping line's return after nearly three years, according to Suez Canal Authority (SCA) Chairman Osama Rabie" [Amwal Al Ghad](https://en.amwalalghad.com/ever-green-resumes-suez-canal-transits-after-nearly-3-years/), published 8 November 2026 - "The EVER GREEN shipping line plans to resume more voyages through the Suez Canal in the coming period" [Amwal Al Ghad](https://en.amwalalghad.com/ever-green-resumes-suez-canal-transits-after-nearly-3-years/), published 8 November 2026 - "The giant container ship EVER EON made its maiden passage through the Suez Canal as part of the northbound convoy, traveling from the Netherlands to Singapore" [Egyptian Gazette](https://egyptian-gazette.com/egypt/evergreen-resumes-suez-canal-transits-after-nearly-3-year-hiatus/), published 8 November 2026 - "Osama Rabie added that Evergreen plans to resume more voyages through the canal in the near future, after a nearly three-year suspension since the Red Sea crisis began" [Egyptian Gazette](https://egyptian-gazette.com/egypt/evergreen-resumes-suez-canal-transits-after-nearly-3-year-hiatus/), published 8 November 2026 - "Lieutenant General Osama Rabie, Chairman of the Suez Canal Authority, stated in an official statement that the return of the EVER GREEN shipping line to transit through the Suez Canal is a positive indicator of the return of global trade to its sustainable path between East and West" [الوطن](https://www.elwatannews.com/news/details/8392524), published 8 November 2026 - "The Suez Canal Authority announced on Sunday, in an official statement, the return of the shipping line EVER GREEN to transit through the Suez Canal again" [الوطن](https://www.elwatannews.com/news/details/8392524), published 8 November 2026 - "The transit of the giant container ship EVER EON through the Suez Canal marked the first transit of its kind today, as part of the northern convoy, on its journey from the Netherlands to Singapore" [الوطن](https://www.elwatannews.com/news/details/8392524), published 8 November 2026 - "Osama Rabie expressed hope for the continuation of positive dynamics as most global shipping lines return to transiting through the Suez Canal" [ТАСС](https://tass.ru/ekonomika/28292197), published 6 November 2026 - "Revenue from transit through the Suez Canal in October increased by almost double (94%) compared to October of the previous year" [ТАСС](https://tass.ru/ekonomika/28292197), published 6 November 2026 - "Suez Canal Authority Chairman Osama Rabie stated that Evergreen intends to resume more of its voyages through the canal in the coming period" [قناة العربية](https://www.alarabiya.net/aswaq/egypt-economy/2026/11/08/%d8%ae%d8%b7-%d9%85%d9%84%d8%a7%d8%ad%d9%8a-%d9%8a%d8%b9%d9%88%d8%af-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%89-%d9%82%d9%86%d8%a7%d8%a9-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b3%d9%88%d9%8a%d8%b3-%d8%a8%d8%b9%d8%af-%d8%a7%d9%86%d9%82%d8%b7%d8%a7%d8%b9-3-%d8%b3%d9%86%d9%88%d8%a7%d8%aa), published 8 November 2026 - "The Suez Canal has successfully regained several shipping services from major international lines serving the Europe-Asia trade route, including CMA CGM, Maersk, MSC, Hapag-Lloyd, COSCO, and Evergreen" [Egyptian Gazette](https://egyptian-gazette.com/egypt/evergreen-resumes-suez-canal-transits-after-nearly-3-year-hiatus/), published 8 November 2026 - "The Suez Canal has seen the return of several shipping services from major international carriers serving the Europe-Asia trade route, including CMA CGM, Maersk, MSC, Hapag-Lloyd, COSCO, and EVER GREEN, according to Osama Rabie" [Amwal Al Ghad](https://en.amwalalghad.com/ever-green-resumes-suez-canal-transits-after-nearly-3-years/), published 8 November 2026 - "The Suez Canal Authority announced the return of the Evergreen shipping line to transit the canal again, after a period of interruption that lasted about 3 years since the outbreak of the Red Sea crisis" [قناة العربية](https://www.alarabiya.net/aswaq/egypt-economy/2026/11/08/%d8%ae%d8%b7-%d9%85%d9%84%d8%a7%d8%ad%d9%8a-%d9%8a%d8%b9%d9%88%d8%af-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%89-%d9%82%d9%86%d8%a7%d8%a9-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b3%d9%88%d9%8a%d8%b3-%d8%a8%d8%b9%d8%af-%d8%a7%d9%86%d9%82%d8%b7%d8%a7%d8%b9-3-%d8%b3%d9%86%d9%88%d8%a7%d8%aa), published 8 November 2026 - "The number of ships passing through the Suez Canal in October increased by 32% compared to October of the previous year" [ТАСС](https://tass.ru/ekonomika/28292197), published 6 November 2026 - "The net tonnage of ships passing through the Suez Canal in October increased by 86% compared to October of the previous year" [ТАСС](https://tass.ru/ekonomika/28292197), published 6 November 2026 - "In October, 1,490 ships with a net tonnage of 88 million tons passed through the Suez Canal, generating $724 million in revenue, despite the ongoing crisis in the Red Sea, stated Osama Rabie" [ТАСС](https://tass.ru/ekonomika/28292197), published 6 November 2026 - "Osama Rabie stated that Evergreen's return to the canal is a positive sign that global trade between East and West is gradually returning to a sustainable course" [Egyptian Gazette](https://egyptian-gazette.com/egypt/evergreen-resumes-suez-canal-transits-after-nearly-3-year-hiatus/), published 8 November 2026 - "The Suez Canal witnessed, on Sunday, the first transit of the giant container ship "EVER EON" belonging to the line, as part of the northbound convoy on its journey from the Netherlands to Singapore, according to a statement issued by the authority" [قناة العربية](https://www.alarabiya.net/aswaq/egypt-economy/2026/11/08/%d8%ae%d8%b7-%d9%85%d9%84%d8%a7%d8%ad%d9%8a-%d9%8a%d8%b9%d9%88%d8%af-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%89-%d9%82%d9%86%d8%a7%d8%a9-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b3%d9%88%d9%8a%d8%b3-%d8%a8%d8%b9%d8%af-%d8%a7%d9%86%d9%82%d8%b7%d8%a7%d8%b9-3-%d8%b3%d9%86%d9%88%d8%a7%d8%aa), published 8 November 2026 ### Evidence challenging YES (0 claims) _No claims in this category. Absence here is a coverage limit, not a finding._ ### Context (11 claims) - "The late President Anwar Sadat reopened the Suez Canal in 1975 after the glorious October victory of 1973" [الوطن](https://www.elwatannews.com/news/details/8392745), published 8 November 2026 - "The EVER GREEN shipping line had suspended its transits through the Suez Canal for nearly three years due to the Red Sea crisis" [Amwal Al Ghad](https://en.amwalalghad.com/ever-green-resumes-suez-canal-transits-after-nearly-3-years/), published 8 November 2026 - "The decision by the late President Gamal Abdel Nasser to nationalize the Suez Canal caused a major global conflict" [الوطن](https://www.elwatannews.com/news/details/8392745), published 8 November 2026 - "In his book 'History of Egypt during the reign of Khedive Ismail', Elias Al-Ayoubi discusses the project of the 'Suez Canal' as the 'isthmus' that would connect two seas" [الوطن](https://www.elwatannews.com/news/details/8392745), published 8 November 2026 - "The project of the Suez Canal was proposed by the French engineer Ferdinand de Lesseps and convinced the Wali Saeed Pasha" [الوطن](https://www.elwatannews.com/news/details/8392745), published 8 November 2026 - "The Suez Canal has served global trade and has been one of the most important international navigation facilities since its construction" [الوطن](https://www.elwatannews.com/news/details/8392745), published 8 November 2026 - "The Suez Canal Authority has begun developing new business areas, including the localization of ship production and their export abroad under the brand "Made in Egypt"" [ТАСС](https://tass.ru/ekonomika/28292197), published 6 November 2026 - "The Suez Canal generated $724 million in revenue in October, marking the highest figure since the start of Houthi attacks on ships in the Red Sea in 2023, according to Osama Rabie, head of the Suez Canal Authority" [ТАСС](https://tass.ru/ekonomika/28292197), published 6 November 2026 - "SCA Chairman Osama Rabie assigned senior pilots Mahmoud Abu Ageila, Yezid Yehia, Elhamy El-Babli, and Nader Nagi to board the EVER EON, welcome its crew, and present a gift to its captain, following SCA protocol for maiden transits" [Egyptian Gazette](https://egyptian-gazette.com/egypt/evergreen-resumes-suez-canal-transits-after-nearly-3-year-hiatus/), published 8 November 2026 - "The EVER EON, owned by Evergreen, measures 369 meters in length, 53.6 meters in width, has a gross tonnage of 185,000, and a capacity of up to 16,556 TEUs" [Egyptian Gazette](https://egyptian-gazette.com/egypt/evergreen-resumes-suez-canal-transits-after-nearly-3-year-hiatus/), published 8 November 2026 - "The EVER EON operates on the NEU 7 service, run by the Ocean Alliance, connecting major ports between the Far East and north-western Europe" [Egyptian Gazette](https://egyptian-gazette.com/egypt/evergreen-resumes-suez-canal-transits-after-nearly-3-year-hiatus/), published 8 November 2026 ## What this brief cannot settle This brief was assembled automatically from a research report that met a published quality bar. No individual review. It rests on 30 claims from 5 publishers; anything not reported in those sources is not represented here. The report recorded 3 resolution risks, listed with this brief. - It is unclear whether 'above 300' means strictly greater than 300 or at least 300; the description says 'above 300' which implies strictly greater, but boundary case of exactly 300 could cause dispute. - IMF PortWatch data may be revised after initial publication; it is not specified which version of the data (preliminary vs. revised) will be used for resolution. - The timezone used by IMF PortWatch for daily counts is not specified, which could affect day boundaries and the total sum. ## Publication history - Published 14 November 2026; research dated 14 November 2026. ## Since the previous brief This is the first published brief for this event. No comparison is available. --- The same research can be run on any Polymarket or Kalshi market at https://market-claims.com.