# Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be above 44% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub? 30 dated claims from 12 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 18 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief. - Canonical page: https://market-claims.com/briefs/kxtrumpapprovalyear-26dec31-e9299830 - Category: politics - Evidence collected: 10 November 2026 - Research dated: 10 November 2026 - Published: 10 November 2026 - Market: Kalshi, https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprovalyear/how-high-will-trump-s-approval-rating-get-before-2027/kxtrumpapprovalyear-26dec31#kxtrumpapprovalyear-26dec31-44 - Venue YES price: 5.1c at 10 November 2026 - Market closes: 7 January 2027 Research only. Not financial advice. No trades are placed. The price is the venue's own market price at the snapshot time, shown as context only. It is not an estimate by MarketClaims. **This is an older research snapshot. It may miss subsequent developments.** ## The question, as the venue words it Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be above 44% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub? ## How this market settles If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is above 44%, then the market resolves to Yes. In order to fulfill the Payout Criterion, the threshold need only be met once during the period. ## Evidence you can inspect _These labels describe how a claim relates to the question. They are not recommendations or independent votes._ ### Evidence supporting YES (0 claims) _No claims in this category. Absence here is a coverage limit, not a finding._ ### Evidence challenging YES (18 claims) - "President Donald Trump's approval rating is at its lowest level since late September, according to a new Economist/YouGov poll" [USA Today](https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2026/11/09/trump-approval-rating-hits-lowest-level-since-september/92694826007/), published 9 November 2026 - "Donald Trump's approval rating on immigration policy was 38%, while his economic stewardship received a 25% rating" [Yahoo News](https://sg.news.yahoo.com/trump-approval-holds-32-near-210301077.html), published 9 November 2026 - "Donald Trump's approval rating was 31% in a mid-October Reuters/Ipsos poll, which was the lowest of his political career" [Yahoo News](https://sg.news.yahoo.com/trump-approval-holds-32-near-210301077.html), published 9 November 2026 - "President Donald Trump's approval rating was 32% in a Reuters/Ipsos poll completed on Monday, unchanged from two prior polls" [Yahoo News](https://sg.news.yahoo.com/trump-approval-holds-32-near-210301077.html), published 9 November 2026 - "Donald Trump's approval rating for immigration policy is 38%, which is considerably higher than the 25% Americans give his economic management" [CNN Brasil](https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/internacional/apos-derrota-nas-midterms-aprovacao-de-trump-e-de-32-diz-reuters-ipsos/), published 9 November 2026 - "The approval rating of 32% is one percentage point higher than the 31% recorded in a mid-October Reuters/Ipsos poll, which was the lowest of Donald Trump's political career" [CNN Brasil](https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/internacional/apos-derrota-nas-midterms-aprovacao-de-trump-e-de-32-diz-reuters-ipsos/), published 9 November 2026 - "A majority of Americans (58%) believe President Donald Trump's job performance in his second term is worse than in his first term" [USA Today](https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2026/11/09/trump-approval-rating-hits-lowest-level-since-september/92694826007/), published 9 November 2026 - "As of Monday, Nov. 9, the RealClearPolitics average showed Trump's approval rating at 38.9% with 59.2% disapproval" [USA Today](https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2026/11/09/trump-approval-rating-hits-lowest-level-since-september/92694826007/), published 9 November 2026 - "The Atlas poll showed Donald Trump's net approval rating at minus 18 percentage points, with 40.3 per cent approving of his performance and 58.6 per cent disapproving" [THE LOCAL REPORT ARTICLES](https://articles.thelocalreport.in/if-our-people-vote-we-win-in-a-landslide-trumps-message-to-republicans-ahead-of-us-midterms/), published 4 November 2026 - "81% of Republicans supported Donald Trump's immigration approach, compared to 50% who supported his approach to the cost of living" [Yahoo News](https://sg.news.yahoo.com/trump-approval-holds-32-near-210301077.html), published 9 November 2026 - "Only 21% of Americans approved of Donald Trump's management of the cost of living" [Yahoo News](https://sg.news.yahoo.com/trump-approval-holds-32-near-210301077.html), published 9 November 2026 - "The approval rating of United States President Donald Trump remained near the lowest point of his political career, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll" [CNN Brasil](https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/internacional/apos-derrota-nas-midterms-aprovacao-de-trump-e-de-32-diz-reuters-ipsos/), published 9 November 2026 - "This approval rating of 32% is a 1 percentage point increase from the mid-October poll, when Trump's approval rating was 31%, marking a record low in his political career" [Liberty Times Net](https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/breakingnews/5635312), published 10 November 2026 - "Trump's approval rating on immigration policy is 38%" [Liberty Times Net](https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/breakingnews/5635312), published 10 November 2026 - "A poll conducted by Reuters/Ipsos on November 9th shows that US President Trump's approval rating is only 32%, nearing the lowest point of his career" [Liberty Times Net](https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/breakingnews/5635312), published 10 November 2026 - "According to Reuters, the latest poll indicates that approximately 32% of Americans approve of Trump's performance in the White House" [Liberty Times Net](https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/breakingnews/5635312), published 10 November 2026 - "President Trump's approval rating was declining due to increased gas and diesel prices, high inflation, his trade war with Canada, and the unpopular war with Iran" [Lethbridge News Now](https://lethbridgenewsnow.com/2026/11/04/in-the-news-today-congress-flips-carney-on-trade-talks-fiscal-hawks-eye-budget/), published 4 November 2026 - "The Republican Party, led by Donald Trump, has faced a setback in the 2026 US midterm elections" [News18 ಕನ್ನಡ](https://kannada.news18.com/news/national-international/us-midterm-elections-donald-trump-party-setback-democrats-in-senate-pod-ws-l-2519773.html), published 4 November 2026 ### Context (12 claims) - "Donald Trump's Republican Party suffered a defeat in the November 3 midterm elections, losing control of both chambers of the US Congress" [Yahoo News](https://sg.news.yahoo.com/trump-approval-holds-32-near-210301077.html), published 9 November 2026 - "Approximately 81% of Republicans surveyed supported Donald Trump's approach to immigration, compared to 50% who supported his handling of the cost of living" [CNN Brasil](https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/internacional/apos-derrota-nas-midterms-aprovacao-de-trump-e-de-32-diz-reuters-ipsos/), published 9 November 2026 - "Only 21% of Americans approve of Donald Trump's handling of the cost of living, and this low popularity hurt his allies in Congress" [CNN Brasil](https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/internacional/apos-derrota-nas-midterms-aprovacao-de-trump-e-de-32-diz-reuters-ipsos/), published 9 November 2026 - "Donald Trump's Republican Party suffered a significant defeat in the midterm elections, losing control of both houses of the U.S. Congress" [CNN Brasil](https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/internacional/apos-derrota-nas-midterms-aprovacao-de-trump-e-de-32-diz-reuters-ipsos/), published 9 November 2026 - "Democrats took control of the Senate, according to projections from American media, inflicting a bitter defeat on President Donald Trump's Republicans in the midterm elections" [BFMTV](https://www.bfmtv.com/international/amerique-nord/etats-unis/midterms-2026-une-vague-bleue-deferle-sur-les-etats-unis-les-democrates-obtiennent-la-majorite-au-senat_ad-202611040107.html), published 4 November 2026 - "Democratic control of the Senate will reshape President Donald Trump's final two years in office and likely hamstring his ability to push his agenda" [Economic Times](https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/democrats-flip-key-republican-states-to-reclaim-senate-put-trump-agenda-on-the-defensive/articleshow/135524068.cms), published 4 November 2026 - "Most American voters believe that Donald Trump's policies have worsened the economic situation" [newsbomb.gr](https://www.newsbomb.gr/kosmos/story/1774138/pos-psifisan-oi-amerikanoi-oi-xartes-kai-ta-grafimata-ton-eklogon), published 4 November 2026 - "This outcome is considered a political blow to President Donald Trump's administration" [AL Masry Al Youm](https://www.almasryalyoum.com/news/details/4400900), published 4 November 2026 - "The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted online nationwide from November 6 to 9, gathering responses from 1,705 US adults with a margin of error of about 2 percentage points" [Yahoo News](https://sg.news.yahoo.com/trump-approval-holds-32-near-210301077.html), published 9 November 2026 - "Democrats scored their biggest victory in the House of Representatives since at least 2008 and flipped Senate seats in traditionally conservative states" [Yahoo News](https://sg.news.yahoo.com/trump-approval-holds-32-near-210301077.html), published 9 November 2026 - "Republicans are blaming President Donald Trump, the quality of candidates, and Sen. Tim Scott, R-S.C., for their losses" [Fox News](https://www.foxnews.com/politics/dems-seize-senate-blue-tidal-wave-crashes-deep-trump-country-topples-gop-strongholds), published 4 November 2026 - "The White House document stated that Donald Trump had secured "new and improved trade agreements" with major US trading partners, including India, the United Kingdom, the European Union, Japan, China, South Korea, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, the Philippines and Cambodia" [THE LOCAL REPORT ARTICLES](https://articles.thelocalreport.in/if-our-people-vote-we-win-in-a-landslide-trumps-message-to-republicans-ahead-of-us-midterms/), published 4 November 2026 ## What this brief cannot settle This brief was assembled automatically from a research report that met a published quality bar. No individual review. It rests on 30 claims from 12 publishers; anything not reported in those sources is not represented here. The report recorded 5 resolution risks, listed with this brief. - VoteHub is not a widely recognized polling aggregator, raising questions about data availability, methodology, and whether the source will remain active through the resolution period - The question title says 'Dec 2025 to Dec 2026' but the description specifies 'Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026' — the exact start date boundary could cause disputes - The threshold is 'above 44%' which means strictly greater than 44%, but it is unclear whether VoteHub reports to decimal precision or rounds to whole numbers, potentially creating ambiguity at exactly 44% - It is unclear whether VoteHub reports a single aggregate approval number or multiple polls, and which specific data point would be used for threshold comparison - The end date of the market is January 7, 2027, which extends beyond the stated resolution period of December 31, 2026, potentially creating confusion about the evaluation window ## Publication history - Published 10 November 2026; research dated 10 November 2026. - Published 5 November 2026; research dated 5 November 2026. ## Since the previous brief Compared with research dated 5 November 2026. This revision replaces research dated 5 November 2026 with research dated 10 November 2026. 10 of 25 cited sources are new; 15 are carried over. --- The same research can be run on any Polymarket or Kalshi market at https://market-claims.com.