# XRP price on Jan 1, 2027? ($0.7500 - $0.9999)

30 dated claims from 8 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 10 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.

- Canonical page: https://market-claims.com/briefs/kxxrpy-27jan0100-f179422e
- Category: crypto
- Evidence collected: 10 November 2026
- Research dated: 10 November 2026
- Published: 10 November 2026
- Market: Kalshi, https://kalshi.com/markets/kxxrpy/xrp-price-at-the-end-of-the-year/kxxrpy-27jan0100#kxxrpy-27jan0100-b07500
- Venue YES price: 51.0c at 10 November 2026
- Market closes: 1 January 2027

Research only. Not financial advice. No trades are placed. The price is the venue's own market price at the snapshot time, shown as context only. It is not an estimate by MarketClaims.

## The question, as the venue words it

XRP price on Jan 1, 2027? ($0.7500 - $0.9999)

## How this market settles

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is between $0.7500-0.9999 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

## Evidence you can inspect

_These labels describe how a claim relates to the question. They are not recommendations or independent votes._

### Evidence supporting YES (0 claims)

_No claims in this category. Absence here is a coverage limit, not a finding._

### Evidence challenging YES (10 claims)

- "ChatGPT-5.6 Terra, another OpenAI model, set its November 30, 2026, XRP price target at $1.33, indicating an estimated upside of 3.91%"
  [Finbold](https://finbold.com/machine-learning-algorithm-sets-xrp-price-for-november-30-2026/), published 4 November 2026
- "The average November 30 price target for XRP is 12.31% below the 30-day high of $1.52 recorded on October 5"
  [Finbold](https://finbold.com/machine-learning-algorithm-sets-xrp-price-for-november-30-2026/), published 4 November 2026
- "ChatGPT-5.7 Luna and ChatGPT-5.6 Sol, among the most bullish AI models, set a November 30 price target of $1.34 for XRP, which is 4.69% above the press time price of $1.28"
  [Finbold](https://finbold.com/machine-learning-algorithm-sets-xrp-price-for-november-30-2026/), published 4 November 2026
- "XRP Has Fallen 17% in 30 Days to $1.17. Will It Go Back Up Before the End of 2026?. This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them. XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) has declined 15.9% over the past 30 days and trades at $1.16. That price is below its lowest close of the past month, $1.18 on November 6."
  [24/7 Wall St.](https://247wallst.com/investing/cryptocurrency/2026/11/07/xrp-has-fallen-17-in-30-days-to-1-17-will-it-go-back-up-before-the-end-of-2026/), published 7 November 2026
- "The chart analyzed by ChartNerd tracks XRP from 2014 into projected 2027 and 2028 price zones, identifying past cycle peaks near 2018, 2021, and the July 2025 all-time high of $3.65"
  [CryptoPotato](https://cryptopotato.com/xrp-bull-eyes-5-8-in-2027-despite-short-term-headwinds/), published 4 November 2026
- "ChartNerd described the $5 to $8 range for XRP as "more than achievable" and identified 2027 as the target window for this price range"
  [CryptoPotato](https://cryptopotato.com/xrp-bull-eyes-5-8-in-2027-despite-short-term-headwinds/), published 4 November 2026
- "One analyst predicts that XRP could reach between $5 and $8 in 2027, but may experience further weakness before the end of the current year"
  [CryptoPotato](https://cryptopotato.com/xrp-bull-eyes-5-8-in-2027-despite-short-term-headwinds/), published 4 November 2026
- "Finbold's predictive machine learning algorithm suggests that XRP may halt its downtrend and experience a moderate recovery by November 30, 2026"
  [Finbold](https://finbold.com/machine-learning-algorithm-sets-xrp-price-for-november-30-2026/), published 4 November 2026
- "XRP's price is currently below its 50-day moving average, trading at $1.16 USD"
  [Börse Express](https://www.boerse-express.com/news/articles/xrp-garlinghouse-verteidigt-xrp-als-leitstern-960576), published 8 November 2026
- "Another analyst, EGRAG CRYPTO, has set targets for XRP, referred to by Ripple as its "North Star," at $8, $13, and $30, stating this outlook is only possible if XRP achieves a monthly close above $1.65"
  [CryptoPotato](https://cryptopotato.com/xrp-bull-eyes-5-8-in-2027-despite-short-term-headwinds/), published 4 November 2026

### Context (20 claims)

- "All 100 billion XRP were created at once in 2012, with no mining or new units"
  [cryptoticker.io](https://cryptoticker.io/fr/qu-est-ce-que-xrp-ripple-explique/), published 4 November 2026
- "If Bitcoin's market value of $1.528 trillion were distributed across the maximum XRP supply of 100 billion coins, the price per XRP would be $15.28"
  [archynewsy.com](https://www.archynewsy.com/xrp-price-if-it-reached-bitcoins-market-capitalization/), published 8 November 2026
- "A hypothetical valuation of $24.06 per XRP is roughly twenty times higher than XRP's sample price of $1.20 on the reference date"
  [archynewsy.com](https://www.archynewsy.com/xrp-price-if-it-reached-bitcoins-market-capitalization/), published 8 November 2026
- "Market capitalization is calculated by multiplying the price of one coin by the number of coins in circulation"
  [archynewsy.com](https://www.archynewsy.com/xrp-price-if-it-reached-bitcoins-market-capitalization/), published 8 November 2026
- "¿Puede XRP llegar a 100 dólares? El cálculo de 2026. Cada semana. 60 segundos de lectura. Cuidadosamente seleccionadas por nuestros editores: sin hype, sin mails promocionales, sin spam. Actualización (1 de noviembre de 2026): Hemos rehecho el cálculo con el precio, la oferta en circulación y la capitalización de mercado del 1 de noviembre de 2026. S"
  [cryptoticker.io](https://cryptoticker.io/es/puede-xrp-llegar-a-100-dolares/), published 8 November 2026
- "Can XRP reach $100? The market cap maths for 2026. Weekly. 60 seconds. Carefully curated by our editors: no hype, no promo flood, no spam. Update (November 1, 2026): We have redone the calculation using the price, circulating supply and market capitalisation as of November 1, 2026. According to CoinMarketCap, XRP traded at $1.25 or €1.12 at 02:34 U"
  [cryptoticker.io](https://cryptoticker.io/en/can-xrp-reach-100-dollars/), published 7 November 2026
- "This comparison highlights the difference between the markets rather than predicting XRP will become twenty times more expensive"
  [archynewsy.com](https://www.archynewsy.com/xrp-price-if-it-reached-bitcoins-market-capitalization/), published 8 November 2026
- "If XRP's market capitalization matched Bitcoin's total market capitalization on November 6, 2026, one XRP would cost approximately $24.06, according to CoinGecko market data"
  [archynewsy.com](https://www.archynewsy.com/xrp-price-if-it-reached-bitcoins-market-capitalization/), published 8 November 2026
- "Bitcoin is the largest cryptocurrency, and XRP has a much lower total market value"
  [archynewsy.com](https://www.archynewsy.com/xrp-price-if-it-reached-bitcoins-market-capitalization/), published 8 November 2026
- "On November 6, 2026, Bitcoin's market value was approximately $1.528 trillion, with about 63.52 billion XRP in circulation"
  [archynewsy.com](https://www.archynewsy.com/xrp-price-if-it-reached-bitcoins-market-capitalization/), published 8 November 2026
- "XRP is currently trading around 37 percent below its year-to-date price"
  [wallstreet:online](https://www.wallstreet-online.de/nachricht/21664812-xrp-prognose-xrp-faellt-1-16-dollar-ripple-chef-garlinghouse-voll-xrp), published 9 November 2026
- "ChartNerd warned that if XRP's price does not return to the $1.30 support level, it could drop to between $1.16 and $1.04, due to a potential "Bart pattern" unfolding after losing the $1.30 threshold"
  [CryptoPotato](https://cryptopotato.com/xrp-bull-eyes-5-8-in-2027-despite-short-term-headwinds/), published 4 November 2026
- "Market capitalization is a mathematical calculation, not a total sum of money deposited by investors into a coin"
  [archynewsy.com](https://www.archynewsy.com/xrp-price-if-it-reached-bitcoins-market-capitalization/), published 8 November 2026
- "A price of $100 per XRP would imply a market capitalization of $6.34 trillion, which is more than four times that of Bitcoin ($1.56 trillion) and about two and a half times the entire crypto market ($2.61 trillion) as of November 1, 2026"
  [cryptoticker.io](https://cryptoticker.io/es/puede-xrp-llegar-a-100-dolares/), published 8 November 2026
- "Analyst consensus has shifted sharply higher, with a large majority of surveyed analysts turning bullish, reaching levels of optimism not seen since mid-2025"
  [cryptonews.com](https://cryptonews.com/news/elon-musks-grok-ai-predicts-unbelievable-btc-price/), published 8 November 2026
- "On Wednesday, November 4, 2026, XRP was priced at approximately 1.14 euros, ranking fifth among cryptocurrencies with a market capitalization of around 72 billion euros, according to CoinGecko"
  [cryptoticker.io](https://cryptoticker.io/es/que-es-xrp-ripple-explicado/), published 4 November 2026
- "On November 4, 2026, XRP was priced at approximately €1.14 and ranked fifth in cryptocurrency market capitalization, valued at around €72 billion"
  [cryptoticker.io](https://cryptoticker.io/en/what-is-xrp-ripple-explained/), published 4 November 2026
- "The SEC sued Ripple in December 2020, alleging the sale of XRP as an unregistered security, which led to delistings on several exchanges and a price drop"
  [cryptoticker.io](https://cryptoticker.io/en/what-is-xrp-ripple-explained/), published 4 November 2026
- "Reaching a price of $100 for XRP would require a gain of approximately 7,900 percent from its price on November 1, 2026"
  [cryptoticker.io](https://cryptoticker.io/en/can-xrp-reach-100-dollars/), published 7 November 2026
- "As of November 1, 2026, XRP traded at $1.25 or €1.12, down from $1.32 on October 22, 2026, and held fifth place with a market capitalization of $79.12 billion"
  [cryptoticker.io](https://cryptoticker.io/en/can-xrp-reach-100-dollars/), published 7 November 2026

## What this brief cannot settle

This brief was assembled automatically from a research report that met a published quality bar. No individual review. It rests on 30 claims from 8 publishers; anything not reported in those sources is not represented here. The report recorded 4 resolution risks, listed with this brief.

- The description says 'before 12 AM EST' but it is unclear whether the 60-second window ends exactly at 12:00:00 AM EST or at some point before it, creating potential ambiguity about which 60 seconds are sampled.
- The boundary condition at exactly $0.9999 is stated inclusively, but it is unclear whether $0.9999 means precisely $0.9999 or if rounding to four decimal places applies.
- The end date in metadata is 2027-01-01T05:00:00Z which corresponds to 12:00 AM EST, consistent with the description, but timezone handling (EST vs EDT) should be confirmed as January 1 is in EST.
- No fallback resolution source is specified if CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI is unavailable or experiences data issues on the resolution date.

## Publication history

- Published 10 November 2026; research dated 10 November 2026.

## Since the previous brief

This is the first published brief for this event. No comparison is available.

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