# Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2027? 30 dated claims from 8 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 6 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 3 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief. - Canonical page: https://market-claims.com/briefs/venezuela-presidential-election-scheduled-by-b60a4b12 - Category: geopolitics - Evidence collected: 3 November 2026 - Research dated: 3 November 2026 - Published: 3 November 2026 - Market: Polymarket, https://polymarket.com/event/venezuela-presidential-election-scheduled-by#0x238c188a7bbcc7e6583aa17b0689bf952100e3a8caf51cab3242d8193f129f17 - Venue YES price: 23.5c at 3 November 2026 - Market closes: 1 April 2027 Research only. Not financial advice. No trades are placed. The price is the venue's own market price at the snapshot time, shown as context only. It is not an estimate by MarketClaims. **This is an older research snapshot. It may miss subsequent developments.** ## The question, as the venue words it Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2027? ## How this market settles This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. ## Evidence you can inspect _These labels describe how a claim relates to the question. They are not recommendations or independent votes._ ### Evidence supporting YES (6 claims) - "Interim Venezuelan President Delcy Rodríguez stated her intention to hold elections during a recent address" [semafor.com](https://www.semafor.com/article/11/02/2026/elections-pose-next-test-for-venezuela), published 2 November 2026 - "Venezuela may be on the verge of a political breakthrough, as interim president Delcy Rodriguez has announced readiness to hold early presidential elections" [rmf24.pl](https://www.rmf24.pl/fakty/swiat/news-wenezuela-szykuje-sie-na-zmiany-tymczasowa-prezydent-zapowia,nidn,1024008), published 30 October 2026 - "On Thursday, Venezuela's interim president Delcy Rodriguez announced readiness to organize early presidential elections" [rmf24.pl](https://www.rmf24.pl/fakty/swiat/news-wenezuela-szykuje-sie-na-zmiany-tymczasowa-prezydent-zapowia,nidn,1024008), published 30 October 2026 - "Venezuela's Interim President Delcy Rodriguez announced that steps will be taken to return state assets, implement a four-phase salary increase in 2027, and renew the electoral system" [Haberler](https://www.haberler.com/guncel/venezuela-da-rodriguez-devlet-varliklarinin-iadesi-20381692-haberi/), published 30 October 2026 - "Rodriguez stated, "I do not ask those who disagree with me to change their minds. I only ask them to evaluate based on facts and the steps taken. Less fighting, more solutions. We are in such a transformation process. Nothing built so far will be destroyed. All elections mandated by our Constitution will be organized by a renewed electoral authority and will take place in the presence of the whole world" [Haberler](https://www.haberler.com/guncel/venezuela-da-rodriguez-devlet-varliklarinin-iadesi-20381692-haberi/), published 30 October 2026 - "Rodriguez announced that there will be a four-phase salary increase in 2027, and comprehensive changes will be made to arrest procedures and the electoral calendar" [Haberler](https://www.haberler.com/guncel/venezuela-da-rodriguez-devlet-varliklarinin-iadesi-20381692-haberi/), published 30 October 2026 ### Evidence challenging YES (0 claims) _No claims in this category. Absence here is a coverage limit, not a finding._ ### Context (24 claims) - "The issue of Venezuelan elections is expected to regain attention from Washington following the conclusion of the US midterm elections" [semafor.com](https://www.semafor.com/article/11/02/2026/elections-pose-next-test-for-venezuela), published 2 November 2026 - "US Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated that they want a new Supreme Court, a new Electoral Council, and new elections in Venezuela" [Haberler](https://www.haberler.com/guncel/venezuela-da-rodriguez-devlet-varliklarinin-iadesi-20381692-haberi/), published 30 October 2026 - "Venezuela's next major challenge is to transform the Trump administration's election strategy into a real transition towards democratic governance" [semafor.com](https://www.semafor.com/article/11/02/2026/elections-pose-next-test-for-venezuela), published 2 November 2026 - "Opposition leader María Corina Machado pointed out that no election date has been set" [semafor.com](https://www.semafor.com/article/11/02/2026/elections-pose-next-test-for-venezuela), published 2 November 2026 - "The "acting" president of Venezuela, Delcy Rodríguez, addressed the nation and confirmed that elections will be held in Venezuela" [Sopitas.com](https://www.sopitas.com/noticias/delcy-rodriguez-venezuela-elecciones-aumento-salarial-2027/), published 29 October 2026 - "Venezuela's acting president, Delcy Rodriguez, announced on Thursday that a "revamped" electoral authority will oversee new elections "with the world as a witness" [english.news.cn](https://english.news.cn/20261030/abac46addf594ed295e9624a5f75da36/c.html), published 30 October 2026 - "The promise of elections by Delcy Rodríguez is considered ambitious given the ongoing political instability after the US arrested President Nicolás Maduro in January" [semafor.com](https://www.semafor.com/article/11/02/2026/elections-pose-next-test-for-venezuela), published 2 November 2026 - "Delcy Rodríguez asked the Venezuelan people to judge her by her actions, assuring that her promises will become reality and will not remain on paper as in the past" [Sopitas.com](https://www.sopitas.com/noticias/delcy-rodriguez-venezuela-elecciones-aumento-salarial-2027/), published 29 October 2026 - "The last presidential elections in Venezuela were held in 2024, and according to official results, Nicolas Maduro won them, but the opposition, informally led by Maria Corina Machado, considered them falsified" [rmf24.pl](https://www.rmf24.pl/fakty/swiat/news-wenezuela-szykuje-sie-na-zmiany-tymczasowa-prezydent-zapowia,nidn,1024008), published 30 October 2026 - "Venezuela's acting president, Delcy Rodríguez, promised four salary increases for 2027" [infobae](https://www.infobae.com/america/agencias/2026/10/29/delcy-rodriguez-promete-cuatro-incrementos-salariales-para-2027-y-restitucion-de-activos/), published 29 October 2026 - "Delcy Rodríguez is indicating a willingness to cooperate with Washington, notwithstanding some of her public statements" [semafor.com](https://www.semafor.com/article/11/02/2026/elections-pose-next-test-for-venezuela), published 2 November 2026 - "Delcy Rodríguez has appointed former opposition aide Oliver Blanco to the position of foreign minister" [semafor.com](https://www.semafor.com/article/11/02/2026/elections-pose-next-test-for-venezuela), published 2 November 2026 - "The interim president of Venezuela stated that she is building "a country worth returning to" [Sopitas.com](https://www.sopitas.com/noticias/delcy-rodriguez-venezuela-elecciones-aumento-salarial-2027/), published 29 October 2026 - "The United States brought narco-terrorism charges against Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro before launching a military operation in Venezuela and capturing him in the name of law enforcement in January" [english.news.cn](https://english.news.cn/20261030/abac46addf594ed295e9624a5f75da36/c.html), published 30 October 2026 - "Delcy Rodríguez stated, "I have said it, there will be elections, all those mandated by our Constitution, organized by a renewed electoral authority and with the world as a witness" [Sopitas.com](https://www.sopitas.com/noticias/delcy-rodriguez-venezuela-elecciones-aumento-salarial-2027/), published 29 October 2026 - "The date for the next election was not specified by Delcy Rodríguez" [El Español](https://www.elespanol.com/mundo/america/20261029/delcy-promete-elecciones-venezuela-autoridad-electoral-renovada-retorno-machado/1003744438931_0.html), published 29 October 2026 - "The minimum monthly salary in Venezuela has remained at 130 bolivars since 2022" [infobae](https://www.infobae.com/america/agencias/2026/10/29/delcy-rodriguez-promete-cuatro-incrementos-salariales-para-2027-y-restitucion-de-activos/), published 29 October 2026 - "The Venezuelan government compensates for the low minimum salary with a $240 bonus paid through vouchers that do not affect labor benefits" [infobae](https://www.infobae.com/america/agencias/2026/10/29/delcy-rodriguez-promete-cuatro-incrementos-salariales-para-2027-y-restitucion-de-activos/), published 29 October 2026 - "The Venezuelan government is considering returning non-essential state assets to the private sector or their former owners" [El Español](https://www.elespanol.com/mundo/america/20261029/delcy-promete-elecciones-venezuela-autoridad-electoral-renovada-retorno-machado/1003744438931_0.html), published 29 October 2026 - "Delcy Rodríguez, acting president of Venezuela since early January, has promised that elections will be held in her country with a renewed electoral authority" [ElNacional.cat](https://www.elnacional.cat/ca/internacional/delcy-rodriguez-promet-eleccions-encra-sense-data-venecuela-autoritat-electoral-renovada_1717795_102.html), published 29 October 2026 - "Delcy Rodríguez stated that she is the "right person" to lead the elections, asserting that "only someone who deeply knows the inner workings of the Venezuelan State can lead this process" [ElNacional.cat](https://www.elnacional.cat/ca/internacional/delcy-rodriguez-promet-eleccions-encra-sense-data-venecuela-autoritat-electoral-renovada_1717795_102.html), published 29 October 2026 - "Delcy Rodriguez stated in a nationwide address that all elections required by the Constitution will be held, with safeguards to prevent the electoral process from becoming a source of trouble or reviving "times of confrontation that no one wants anymore" [english.news.cn](https://english.news.cn/20261030/abac46addf594ed295e9624a5f75da36/c.html), published 30 October 2026 - "Delcy Rodriguez added that her government seeks to secure "genuine conditions for fair participation for all political forces," so elections can serve as a way to resolve differences rather than deepen divisions" [english.news.cn](https://english.news.cn/20261030/abac46addf594ed295e9624a5f75da36/c.html), published 30 October 2026 - "Delcy Rodríguez declared during a national address, 'There will be elections, all those mandated by our Constitution, organized by a renewed electoral authority and with the world as a witness'" [El Español](https://www.elespanol.com/mundo/america/20261029/delcy-promete-elecciones-venezuela-autoridad-electoral-renovada-retorno-machado/1003744438931_0.html), published 29 October 2026 ## What this brief cannot settle This brief was assembled automatically from a research report that met a published quality bar. No individual review. It rests on 30 claims from 8 publishers; anything not reported in those sources is not represented here. The report recorded 5 resolution risks, listed with this brief. - 'Next Venezuelan presidential election' is ambiguous — it is unclear whether this refers to a regularly scheduled election, a snap election, or any officially called presidential election - 'Scheduled' is not precisely defined — it is unclear whether a formal decree, an announcement by the electoral authority (CNE), or a government statement suffices - The term 'before 2030' is ambiguous regarding whether January 1, 2030 itself qualifies or only dates strictly before that year - Resolution relies on 'consensus of credible reporting' which is subjective and lacks a defined threshold or list of qualifying outlets - Timezone handling: market end date is 2027-04-01T03:59:00Z which corresponds to 11:59 PM ET on March 31, 2027 — consistent but worth noting for daylight saving time accuracy ## Publication history - Published 3 November 2026; research dated 3 November 2026. ## Since the previous brief This is the first published brief for this event. No comparison is available. --- The same research can be run on any Polymarket or Kalshi market at https://market-claims.com.