# Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? 30 dated claims from 6 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 19 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 27 October 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief. - Canonical page: https://market-claims.com/briefs/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027-90b62941 - Category: crypto - Evidence collected: 27 October 2026 - Research dated: 27 October 2026 - Published: 27 October 2026 - Market: Polymarket, https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027#0x63eaf41ce1f475323e2202d7dfa3b1def8b82cd166f7007c50bfbf47615c7b01 - Venue YES price: 8.5c at 27 October 2026 - Market closes: 1 January 2027 Research only. Not financial advice. No trades are placed. The price is the venue's own market price at the snapshot time, shown as context only. It is not an estimate by MarketClaims. ## The question, as the venue words it Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? ## How this market settles This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. ## Evidence you can inspect _These labels describe how a claim relates to the question. They are not recommendations or independent votes._ ### Evidence supporting YES (0 claims) _No claims in this category. Absence here is a coverage limit, not a finding._ ### Evidence challenging YES (19 claims) - "Bitcoin is currently trading around $80,500, which is 36.2% below its record high of $126,080" [24/7 Wall St.](https://247wallst.com/investing/cryptocurrency/2026/10/24/which-cryptos-could-outperform-bitcoin-before-the-end-of-2026/), published 24 October 2026 - "Bitcoin reached approximately $80,000 in May but subsequently lost those gains" [The Motley Fool](https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/10/26/will-bitcoin-hit-100-000-before-the-end-of-2026/), published 26 October 2026 - "Earlier this year, Bitcoin reached lows below $60,000" [The Motley Fool](https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/10/26/will-bitcoin-hit-100-000-before-the-end-of-2026/), published 26 October 2026 - "Bitcoin has not yet reached the $100,000 mark in 2026" [The Motley Fool](https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/10/26/will-bitcoin-hit-100-000-before-the-end-of-2026/), published 26 October 2026 - "Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz stated that Bitcoin has a stronger chance of reaching $100,000 than falling to $50,000 by year-end" [Benzinga](https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/26/10/62578603/mike-novogratz-ai-could-be-biggest-bubble-of-our-lifetime-bitcoin-to-hit-100000-in-2026), published 24 October 2026 - "Mike Novogratz identified $79,000 to $80,000 as a crucial downside zone for Bitcoin, warning that a breakdown could undermine current bullish momentum" [Benzinga](https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/26/10/62578603/mike-novogratz-ai-could-be-biggest-bubble-of-our-lifetime-bitcoin-to-hit-100000-in-2026), published 24 October 2026 - "On Oct. 13, speaking on the Money Rehab podcast, Novogratz said Bitcoin's recovery from $60,000 to above $80,000 reflects renewed investor interest" [Benzinga](https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/26/10/62578603/mike-novogratz-ai-could-be-biggest-bubble-of-our-lifetime-bitcoin-to-hit-100000-in-2026), published 24 October 2026 - "CoinMarketCap forecasts bitcoin's price to be between $85,000 and $92,000 by the end of 2026" [cryptonews.net](https://cryptonews.net/news/bitcoin/33636558/), published 22 October 2026 - "Bitcoin has recently been trading lower due to potential profit-taking and renewed fears about overall market stability" [The Motley Fool](https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/10/26/will-bitcoin-hit-100-000-before-the-end-of-2026/), published 26 October 2026 - "With interest rates expected to rise this year, investors might divest from volatile and speculative assets like Bitcoin" [The Motley Fool](https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/10/26/will-bitcoin-hit-100-000-before-the-end-of-2026/), published 26 October 2026 - "Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a difficult year, with its value decreasing by approximately 10% since the beginning of the year, despite recent increases" [The Motley Fool](https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/10/26/will-bitcoin-hit-100-000-before-the-end-of-2026/), published 26 October 2026 - "Crypto analysts believe that a bitcoin price of $100,000 by the end of 2026 is unlikely due to the financial and geopolitical landscape" [cryptonews.net](https://cryptonews.net/news/bitcoin/33636558/), published 22 October 2026 - "U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced an outflow of $635.5 million on October 22, which was the largest one-day outflow since September 24" [24/7 Wall St.](https://247wallst.com/investing/cryptocurrency/2026/10/24/which-cryptos-could-outperform-bitcoin-before-the-end-of-2026/), published 24 October 2026 - "Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) has dropped 27.6% over the past year" [24/7 Wall St.](https://247wallst.com/investing/cryptocurrency/2026/10/24/which-cryptos-could-outperform-bitcoin-before-the-end-of-2026/), published 24 October 2026 - "Pillows observed that buy orders around $80,000 were executed the previous day, temporarily increasing Bitcoin's price before selling pressure resumed" [The Crypto Basic - Bitcoin, Cryptocurrency, DeFi Topics And News](https://thecryptobasic.com/2026/10/26/bitcoin-faces-another-drop-as-80m-in-buy-orders-cluster-at-78k-79k/), published 26 October 2026 - "Ted Pillows warned that three consecutive weekly losses for Bitcoin and a weekly close below $80,000 would elevate the risk of further price decreases" [The Crypto Basic - Bitcoin, Cryptocurrency, DeFi Topics And News](https://thecryptobasic.com/2026/10/26/bitcoin-faces-another-drop-as-80m-in-buy-orders-cluster-at-78k-79k/), published 26 October 2026 - "Analyst Ted Pillows identified the $78,000-$79,000 range as the next key support zone for Bitcoin, noting over $80 million in buy orders within this area" [The Crypto Basic - Bitcoin, Cryptocurrency, DeFi Topics And News](https://thecryptobasic.com/2026/10/26/bitcoin-faces-another-drop-as-80m-in-buy-orders-cluster-at-78k-79k/), published 26 October 2026 - "Charlie Bilello, a strategist at Creative Planning, stated that Bitcoin (BTC) and Gold were among the weakest major assets in 2026, with losses of 7.3% and 7.5% respectively" [BeInCrypto](https://de.beincrypto.com/bitcoin-gold-schlechteste-assets-2026/), published 25 October 2026 - "Bitcoin was heading towards its second consecutive year of losses in 2026, after a 6.3% decline in 2025" [BeInCrypto](https://de.beincrypto.com/bitcoin-gold-schlechteste-assets-2026/), published 25 October 2026 ### Context (11 claims) - "Concerns about U.S. debt and rising bond yields have driven investors towards Bitcoin as an alternative to the U.S. dollar and a hedge against fiscal instability" [The Motley Fool](https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/10/26/will-bitcoin-hit-100-000-before-the-end-of-2026/), published 26 October 2026 - "Since the start of August, Bitcoin's value has increased by around 27%" [The Motley Fool](https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/10/26/will-bitcoin-hit-100-000-before-the-end-of-2026/), published 26 October 2026 - "Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's comments about Treasury buybacks helped revive Bitcoin's narrative as a hedge against currency debasement" [Benzinga](https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/26/10/62578603/mike-novogratz-ai-could-be-biggest-bubble-of-our-lifetime-bitcoin-to-hit-100000-in-2026), published 24 October 2026 - "Mike Novogratz recommended that ordinary investors allocate 10%-15% of their net worth to crypto, with Bitcoin comprising roughly two-thirds of his own crypto exposure" [Benzinga](https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/26/10/62578603/mike-novogratz-ai-could-be-biggest-bubble-of-our-lifetime-bitcoin-to-hit-100000-in-2026), published 24 October 2026 - "Over the last week, only three major coins showed gains: Monero (CRYPTO:XMR) up 7.2%, BNB up 1.4%, and Bitcoin Cash up 0.7%" [24/7 Wall St.](https://247wallst.com/investing/cryptocurrency/2026/10/24/which-cryptos-could-outperform-bitcoin-before-the-end-of-2026/), published 24 October 2026 - "Bitcoin's dominance, its share of the total cryptocurrency market, stands at 59.5%" [24/7 Wall St.](https://247wallst.com/investing/cryptocurrency/2026/10/24/which-cryptos-could-outperform-bitcoin-before-the-end-of-2026/), published 24 October 2026 - "Weak demand in the spot market is a primary concern for Bitcoin, making it difficult to maintain its price without stronger buying activity, even with substantial pending buy orders" [The Crypto Basic - Bitcoin, Cryptocurrency, DeFi Topics And News](https://thecryptobasic.com/2026/10/26/bitcoin-faces-another-drop-as-80m-in-buy-orders-cluster-at-78k-79k/), published 26 October 2026 - "Bitcoin's price fell to $79,278 on Monday before recovering to $80,291, but it remains approximately 5% lower over the past month" [The Crypto Basic - Bitcoin, Cryptocurrency, DeFi Topics And News](https://thecryptobasic.com/2026/10/26/bitcoin-faces-another-drop-as-80m-in-buy-orders-cluster-at-78k-79k/), published 26 October 2026 - "The $80 million in buy orders across various trading platforms provides support, but much of this liquidity originates from futures markets, not direct spot purchases of Bitcoin" [The Crypto Basic - Bitcoin, Cryptocurrency, DeFi Topics And News](https://thecryptobasic.com/2026/10/26/bitcoin-faces-another-drop-as-80m-in-buy-orders-cluster-at-78k-79k/), published 26 October 2026 - "Visible liquidity from futures orders does not guarantee a price rebound because traders can cancel orders, and these orders do not necessarily translate into demand for actual Bitcoin" [The Crypto Basic - Bitcoin, Cryptocurrency, DeFi Topics And News](https://thecryptobasic.com/2026/10/26/bitcoin-faces-another-drop-as-80m-in-buy-orders-cluster-at-78k-79k/), published 26 October 2026 - "Bitcoin is experiencing downward price pressure as buyers struggle to halt its decline" [The Crypto Basic - Bitcoin, Cryptocurrency, DeFi Topics And News](https://thecryptobasic.com/2026/10/26/bitcoin-faces-another-drop-as-80m-in-buy-orders-cluster-at-78k-79k/), published 26 October 2026 ## What this brief cannot settle This brief was assembled automatically from a research report that met a published quality bar. No individual review. It rests on 30 claims from 6 publishers; anything not reported in those sources is not represented here. The report recorded 4 resolution risks, listed with this brief. - The description uses 'ET timezone' without specifying whether ET refers to EST (UTC-5) or EDT (UTC-4), which could matter for boundary candles around daylight saving time transitions. - The market end date is listed as 2027-01-01T05:00:00Z, which corresponds to December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET if ET is EST (UTC-5), but this boundary alignment should be confirmed. - The resolution window start date of November 24, 2025, 14:00 ET is in the past relative to likely market creation, suggesting the window may already be partially elapsed. - The official resolution source URL points to a live trading interface rather than a static historical data source, which could introduce ambiguity if Binance changes its interface or data availability. ## Publication history - Published 27 October 2026; research dated 27 October 2026. ## Since the previous brief This is the first published brief for this event. No comparison is available. --- The same research can be run on any Polymarket or Kalshi market at https://market-claims.com.