MarketClaims

The MarketClaims Brief · Published research

Will the Clarity Act (H.R.3633) be signed into law in 2026?

A legislative-process market: the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act must pass both chambers and be signed by 31 December 2026. The evidence assembled here tracks the bill's progress and the positions taken around it. Legislative markets turn on floor time and calendar rather than on public sentiment, and the retrieved evidence speaks more to the former than the latter.

Politics brief. Evidence collected, research dated and published .

This is an older research snapshot. It may miss subsequent developments.

The question, as the venue words it

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

How this market settles

Resolves Yes if H.R.3633 is passed by both chambers of Congress and signed into law by 31 December 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the Congress.gov legislation tracker.

Evidence you can inspect

These labels describe how a claim relates to the question. They are not recommendations or independent votes.

Evidence supporting YES 1 claim

  • Source publicationCRYPTONEWSBYTES.COMpublished

    Sen. Angela Alsobrooks of Maryland said the Clarity Act is not going to die and that lawmakers have a responsibility to regulate the unregulated crypto industry

    CRYPTONEWSBYTES.COM, published

Evidence challenging YES 4 claims

  • Source publicationcryptoticker.iopublished

    Bitcoin supera 80.000 dólares y Trump pierde la Clarity Act. Por favor, acepte las cookies de marketing para ver las integraciones de X (Twitter). ¿Por qué los expertos en criptomonedas culpan a Trump por el fracaso de la Ley de Claridad? Esta es la parte que cambió en las últimas 24 horas. El primer instinto de la industria fue culpar a los demócratas del

    cryptoticker.io, published
  • Source publicationannahar.compublished

    تحديات تنظيم العملات المشفرة في الولايات المتحدة 2026. تلقى قطاع العملات المشفرة في الولايات المتحدة ضربة تشريعية، بعدما أخفق مجلس الشيوخ، في 15 أيلول/سبتمبر 2026، في تمرير إجراء يسمح بمواصلة مناقشة مشروع "قانون وضوح سوق الأصول الرقمية"، المعروف باسم "كلاريتي" (CLARITY Act). لا يبدأ التنظيم الأميركي للعملات المشفرة من الصفر. في تموز/يوليو 2025، وقّع ال

    annahar.com, published
  • Source publicationAolpublished

    Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan Adjusts His Crypto Outlook After the Senate Vote. Here's What He Changed - AOL. In a memo, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan compared the CLARITY Act to crypto's Punxsutawney Phil, suggesting a failed Senate vote would lead to prolonged stagnation for the sector. The bill was defeated on September 15, 2026, by a vote of 49 to 50. The next day, he withdrew his warnin

    Aol, published
  • Source publicationCrypto Economypublished

    The US Senate declined to advance debate on the CLARITY Act through a 49-to-50 vote held on Tuesday, September 15, 2026

    Crypto Economy, published

Context 7 claims

  • Source publicationCrypto Economypublished

    The Senate failed to advance the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (H.R. 3633) on Tuesday, September 15, with a procedural motion receiving 49 votes in favor and 50 against, falling short of the 60 votes needed to overcome a filibuster

    Crypto Economy, published
  • Source publicationSSBCrack Newspublished

    Scott Melker noted that the Clarity Act had broad public support and bipartisan backing in the House of Representatives but faced opposition in the Senate due to partisan dynamics

    SSBCrack News, published
  • Source publicationCRYPTONEWSBYTES.COMpublished

    Republicans argued that Democrats were not serious about passing the Clarity Act, while Democrats stated that Republican leaders forced the vote before negotiations were complete

    CRYPTONEWSBYTES.COM, published
  • Source publicationCRYPTONEWSBYTES.COMpublished

    A Democratic staffer told Crypto In America that Sen. Thom Tillis was willing to delay the vote on the Clarity Act to continue negotiations

    CRYPTONEWSBYTES.COM, published
  • Source publicationCRYPTONEWSBYTES.COMpublished

    Democrats voted together against advancing the Clarity Act, joined by Republican Sens. Susan Collins of Maine, Josh Hawley of Missouri, and Jerry Moran of Kansas

    CRYPTONEWSBYTES.COM, published
  • Source publicationCRYPTONEWSBYTES.COMpublished

    Sen. Thom Tillis of North Carolina initially voted yes on the Clarity Act, then switched to no in a procedural move

    CRYPTONEWSBYTES.COM, published
  • Source publicationCRYPTONEWSBYTES.COMpublished

    The Senate failed to advance the Clarity Act in a 49-50 vote, falling short of the 60 votes needed

    CRYPTONEWSBYTES.COM, published

What this brief cannot settle

Congress.gov is the authoritative record and should be checked directly before acting on anything here; news reporting on bill progress lags and frequently conflates committee action with floor action. Every claim was checked against its source page; none were removed.

  • The market title says 'signed into law in 2026' but the description specifies the deadline as December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET — these are consistent but the title omits the exact deadline.
  • No explicit clarification on whether a pocket signing or other non-standard signing method would satisfy the 'signed into law' condition.
  • Resolution may rely on 'other credible reporting' in addition to Congress.gov, introducing potential subjectivity in source selection.
  • No explicit mention of what happens if the bill is passed with significant amendments that change its identity or title.

Since the previous brief

Publication history (1 recorded revisions)
  1. Published · research dated

This is the first published brief for this event. No comparison is available.

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