Use case · Crypto & regulation research
Crypto markets run on rumor. Resolutions run on rulings.
ETF approvals, enforcement actions, exchange listings, legislation - crypto prediction markets resolve on official acts that are widely rumored long before they're real. MarketClaims separates confirmed from claimed.
The problem
The gap between rumor and record is widest in crypto.
An unsourced screenshot can move a market hours before any filing exists. Resolution criteria, meanwhile, typically require an official act: an SEC order, a court ruling, a signed law.
What we do
Track the official record, note the rumor as rumor.
Claims from primary coverage of filings, dockets, and regulator statements are weighted above secondary chatter. Each claim shows its provenance so you can judge the chain yourself.
What you get
A defensible read on where the record actually stands.
The lean reflects confirmed reporting, with confidence stated and gaps acknowledged. No alpha talk, no price targets - sourced evidence and an honest scorecard.
Questions this research answers
Has the approval actually been filed, or only reported as imminent?
What does the court docket say versus what the thread says?
Which resolution criteria could turn on a definitional dispute?
Pick a market. Read the evidence.
Paste a Polymarket URL or browse by category - every report shows its sources.
Explore MarketClaimsResearch only. Not financial advice.