Use case · Election & politics research
Election markets resolve on facts. Research them with facts.
Polls, endorsements, court rulings, ballot deadlines - election markets move on news that breaks in many languages and time zones. MarketClaims reads it all and shows you the claims that bear on resolution.
The problem
Election coverage is partisan, fragmented, and fast.
A single market can hinge on a court filing reported first in regional press, a candidate statement in another language, or a procedural deadline nobody is watching. Sentiment on social media is loud; resolution criteria are quiet.
What we do
Claims pinned to sources, weighed against resolution criteria.
Every extracted claim carries its outlet, publication time, and language. The lean is conservative: when polling is within noise or reporting conflicts, the verdict can be insufficient evidence - and says so.
What you get
A report you can interrogate, not a tip you have to trust.
Drill into each claim, read the original sources, and decide for yourself. When the market resolves, the call is graded against the actual outcome and published.
Questions this research answers
Who is favored to win this primary, and what does reporting actually say?
Has any credible outlet confirmed the candidate's withdrawal?
What procedural deadlines could change how this market resolves?
Pick a market. Read the evidence.
Paste a Polymarket URL or browse by category - every report shows its sources.
Explore MarketClaimsResearch only. Not financial advice.