MarketClaimsThe public research desk
Macro research briefs
10 published macro briefs, each with its dated claims, the publishers behind them and the venue's own settlement wording.
Research only. Not financial advice. No trades are placed.
10 published briefs · Page 1 of 1
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Macro
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.20% by Nov 30, 2026? (5.21% or above)
30 dated claims from 7 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 6 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 11 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated
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Macro
Will Uber Eats app downloads for November 2026 be above 106.5 ?
30 dated claims from 13 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 11 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated
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Macro
Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 5.49 on Dec 31, 2026? (5.5% or above)
26 dated claims from 6 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 4 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Macro
Will Max: Stream HBO, TV, & Movies app downloads for November 2026 be above 58.5 ?
30 dated claims from 9 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 19 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Macro
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Nov 30, 2026? (5.07% or above)
30 dated claims from 7 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 7 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Macro
Who will IPO before 2027? (Anthropic)
30 dated claims from 10 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 26 point toward YES and 1 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Macro
Will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO before Jan 1, 2027?
30 dated claims from 16 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 8 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 8 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Macro
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.84% by Nov 30, 2026? (4.83% or below)
29 dated claims from 6 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 3 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 5 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Macro
What will the FDA's decision be on Ivonescimab by Summit Therapeutics in 2026? (a full approval or an accelerated approval)
30 dated claims from 7 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 6 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 5 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Macro
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $115.01 by Dec 31, 2026? ($115.01 or above)
30 dated claims from 8 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 6 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 4 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot