MarketClaimsThe public research desk
Politics research briefs
134 published politics briefs, each with its dated claims, the publishers behind them and the venue's own settlement wording.
Research only. Not financial advice. No trades are placed.
134 published briefs · Page 10 of 12
-
Politics
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Kansas? (Roger Marshall)
30 dated claims from 10 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 1 point toward YES and 10 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 3 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
-
Politics
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Maine? (Susan Collins)
30 dated claims from 12 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 6 point toward YES and 1 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 3 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
-
Politics
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Ohio (Vivek Ramaswamy)
30 dated claims from 12 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 12 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 3 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
-
Politics
Will a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California pass? (In 2026)
30 dated claims from 11 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 6 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 3 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
-
Politics
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Michigan? (Mike Rogers)
30 dated claims from 14 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 3 point toward YES and 1 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 3 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
-
Politics
Will Republicans win the House in 2026? (Republican Party)
30 dated claims from 15 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 4 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 3 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
-
Politics
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
30 dated claims from 8 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 10 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 3 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
-
Politics
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
30 dated claims from 11 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 14 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 3 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
-
Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
30 dated claims from 8 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 1 point toward YES and 5 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 3 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
-
Politics
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
30 dated claims from 7 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 15 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 3 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
-
Politics
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
30 dated claims from 8 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 2 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 2 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
-
Politics
Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
30 dated claims from 18 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 19 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 29 October 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot