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The MarketClaims Brief · Published research

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

30 dated claims from 9 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 19 point toward YES and 1 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 7 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.

Geopolitics brief. Evidence collected, research dated and published .

This is an older research snapshot. It may miss subsequent developments.

What the evidence does

19
Toward yes
1
Against yes
10
Context

9 publishers1 Nov to 7 Nov 2026Evidence collected

How this market settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin talk by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. Events that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

What could still go wrong

  • 'Consensus of credible reporting' is undefined — no specific outlet or threshold of sources is specified, leaving resolution subject to editorial judgment.
  • The market start date is not explicitly stated, making it unclear which prior events are excluded; 'prior to the start of this market' is ambiguous without a defined start timestamp.
  • Written or text-based communication (e.g., letters, messages) is excluded by the definition, but indirect verbal relays through intermediaries are not explicitly addressed.
  • 'Talk' requires verbal or in-person interaction, but the threshold for what counts as a meaningful exchange versus a brief encounter is not defined.
  • Timezone of 'December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET' vs. the end date of '2027-01-01T04:59:00Z' appears consistent but adds minor complexity if clocks shift or ET definition (EST vs EDT) is disputed.

Evidence you can inspect These labels describe how a claim relates to the question. They are not recommendations or independent votes.

Evidence supporting YES 19 claims

  • Toward yes

    Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy expressed hope that upcoming United States-mediated talks with Russia in Abu Dhabi will lead to a three-way meeting including Russian President Vladimir Putin

    Dominican Republic Post - Caribbean News, Business, Travel & Culture published
  • Source publicationХартия 97published
    Toward yes

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy hopes that Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan will help facilitate talks with Putin in Turkey

    Хартия 97 published
  • Source publicationnews.cgtn.compublished
    Toward yes

    Kremlin aide Yury Ushakov informed reporters on Saturday that Vladimir Putin has never declined to speak with Volodymyr Zelenskyy, as reported by TASS News Agency

    news.cgtn.com published
  • Source publicationnews.cgtn.compublished
    Toward yes

    Zelenskyy believes that only the heads of state, Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, have the authority to make binding decisions, and he supports Türkiye as the meeting location due to Recep Tayyip Erdogan's existing communication lines with Putin, according to CMG

    news.cgtn.com published
  • Source publicationnews.cgtn.compublished
    Toward yes

    Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has suggested a potential in-person meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Türkiye, requesting Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to facilitate the summit through his established communication channels

    news.cgtn.com published
  • Source publicationХартия 97published
    Toward yes

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy said, "We are ready for this meeting in Turkey. I know that President Erdogan has his own connections with Putin. That is why we support a meeting in Turkey

    Хартия 97 published
  • Source publicationХартия 97published
    Toward yes

    Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that he is ready to hold a face-to-face meeting with Russian dictator Vladimir Putin in Turkey

    Хартия 97 published
  • Source publicationDominican Republic Post - Caribbean News, Business, Travel & Culturepublished
    Toward yes

    Speaking in Berlin alongside German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, Zelenskyy stated that the adviser-level talks on November 10 and 11 were part of a diplomatic effort to end the war

    Dominican Republic Post - Caribbean News, Business, Travel & Culture published
  • Toward yes

    Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that Ukraine is ready to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Turkey, expressing hope that Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan could help facilitate the talks

    ProtoThema published
  • Toward yes

    Yuriy Ushakov, an aide to the Russian president, stated that Vladimir Putin has not refused to talk with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    Волинські новини published
  • Source publicationDominican Republic Post - Caribbean News, Business, Travel & Culturepublished
    Toward yes

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy told reporters, "We are counting on the fact that work in this format and our other diplomatic steps will open the way to a trilateral format at the level of leaders

    Dominican Republic Post - Caribbean News, Business, Travel & Culture published
  • Source publicationDominican Republic Post - Caribbean News, Business, Travel & Culturepublished
    Toward yes

    Al Jazeera's Dominic Kane reported from Berlin that there was a sense of positivity from Zelenskyy and Merz regarding the Abu Dhabi meeting as a step forward

    Dominican Republic Post - Caribbean News, Business, Travel & Culture published
  • Source publicationХартия 97published
    Toward yes

    According to Volodymyr Zelenskyy, direct talks between the presidents could help find solutions to issues that cannot be resolved at the level of delegations and technical working groups

    Хартия 97 published
  • Source publicationReport İnformasiya Agentliyipublished
    Toward yes

    Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is ready to meet with his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin in Turkey

    Report İnformasiya Agentliyi published
  • Source publicationDominican Republic Post - Caribbean News, Business, Travel & Culturepublished
    Toward yes

    Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov confirmed that a Russian delegation, led by Vladimir Medinsky, would attend the talks, according to the state news agency TASS

    Dominican Republic Post - Caribbean News, Business, Travel & Culture published
  • Source publicationReport İnformasiya Agentliyipublished
    Toward yes

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy said, "I know that President (Recep Tayyip-ed.) Erdoğan has his own connection with Putin. That is why we support the meeting in Turkey

    Report İnformasiya Agentliyi published
  • Source publicationnews.cgtn.compublished
    Toward yes

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated in a media interview on Saturday that delegations and technical working groups do not possess the authority to resolve certain unresolved issues, as reported by China Media Group (CMG)

    news.cgtn.com published
  • Source publicationDominican Republic Post - Caribbean News, Business, Travel & Culturepublished
    Toward yes

    US special envoy Steve Witkoff announced that the upcoming talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the US would focus on "post-war security arrangements, de-escalation, humanitarian efforts, and next steps toward peace

    Dominican Republic Post - Caribbean News, Business, Travel & Culture published
  • Source publicationВолинські новиниpublished
    Toward yes

    Ushakov suggested that Putin would answer Zelenskyy's phone call, stating, "I think he will answer, of course. Putin has never refused to talk

    Волинські новини published

Evidence challenging YES 1 claim

  • Source publicationRBC-Ukrainepublished
    Against yes

    Laura Loomer emphasized that it would be a "suicidal move" for Zelenskyy to go to Moscow

    RBC-Ukraine published

Context 10 claims

  • Source publicationnews.cgtn.compublished
    Context

    Yury Ushakov stated that if Volodymyr Zelenskyy wishes to meet with Vladimir Putin in person, he is welcome to travel to Moscow, adding, "He is sending signals through various sources. If he really wants to negotiate, he is free to come [to Moscow]

    news.cgtn.com published
  • Source publicationХартия 97published
    Context

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy assured that he would not agree to Vladimir Putin's demands to hand over the Donbas or recognize Crimea as Russian, explaining that such concessions would contradict the Constitution of Ukraine

    Хартия 97 published
  • Context

    Volodymyr Zelensky emphasized that Donald Trump has always said he has very good, excellent, strong relations with Putin

    24 Канал published
  • Source publicationCashpublished
    Context

    Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated he would be ready for a direct meeting with Kremlin leader Vladimir Putin in Turkey

    Cash published
  • Context

    Laura Loomer stated, "But I think that Putin is trying to troll Zelenskyy. Last week, we saw the Kremlin release a statement saying that they invited Zelenskyy to Moscow for meetings. Why would Zelenskyy go to Moscow when the Russians are constantly trying to assassinate him?

    RBC-Ukraine published
  • Source publicationDominican Republic Post - Caribbean News, Business, Travel & Culturepublished
    Context

    German Chancellor Friedrich Merz commented on the Abu Dhabi talks, stating, "I do not see that happening so far," regarding Russia seriously engaging in negotiations for a ceasefire and peace agreement

    Dominican Republic Post - Caribbean News, Business, Travel & Culture published
  • Source publication24 Каналpublished
    Context

    Volodymyr Zelensky is ready to hold direct negotiations with Vladimir Putin "in any country"

    24 Канал published
  • Source publicationRBC-Ukrainepublished
    Context

    Laura Loomer recalled that Putin's opposition was treated by being arrested, held in a Siberian prison camp, and then poisoned

    RBC-Ukraine published
  • Source publicationRBC-Ukrainepublished
    Context

    Laura Loomer said, "It just seems like a bad-faith effort to say, "Okay, yeah, I'm going to have negotiations, but you have to come to Moscow." The negotiations should not be in Russia, and they should not be in Ukraine

    RBC-Ukraine published
  • Source publicationRBC-Ukrainepublished
    Context

    Laura Loomer believes that the Russian President is not foolish

    RBC-Ukraine published

Who reported it 9 publishers, each setting its own name

  • Dominican Republic Post - Caribbean News, Business, Travel & Culture 7
  • news.cgtn.com 5
  • RBC-Ukraine 5
  • Хартия 97 5
  • 24 Канал 2
  • Report İnformasiya Agentliyi 2
  • Волинські новини 2
  • Cash 1
  • ProtoThema 1

What this brief cannot settle

This brief was assembled automatically from a research report that met a published quality bar. No individual review. It rests on 30 claims from 9 publishers; anything not reported in those sources is not represented here. The report recorded 5 resolution risks, listed with this brief.

Since the previous brief

Publication history (2 recorded revisions)
  1. Published · research dated
  2. Published · research dated

Compared with research dated

This revision replaces research dated 3 November 2026 with research dated 7 November 2026. 13 of 19 cited sources are new; 6 are carried over.

More published research