MarketClaimsThe public research desk
Kalshi research briefs
126 published briefs on Kalshi markets, each with its dated claims, the publishers behind them and the venue's own settlement wording.
Research only. Not financial advice. No trades are placed.
126 published briefs · Page 4 of 11
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Crypto
Will Cardano trade below $0.15 by November 30, 2026?
30 dated claims from 7 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 11 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Crypto
Will Cardano trade above $0.25 by November 30, 2026?
30 dated claims from 5 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 2 point toward YES and 7 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Macro
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Nov 30, 2026? (5.07% or above)
30 dated claims from 7 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 7 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Russian-origin diesel fuel is imported into the United States before Dec 1, 2026?
30 dated claims from 16 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 2 point toward YES and 14 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 8 in Nov 2026?
30 dated claims from 11 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 16 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic? (Lula, Eizenkot, Democrats)
30 dated claims from 16 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 6 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Economy
Will the Central Bank of Brazil cut 1-25bps at the December Monetary Policy Meeting?
30 dated claims from 6 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 7 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will Ron DeSantis announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?
30 dated claims from 11 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 7 point toward YES and 1 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will Donald Trump meet in person Vladimir Putin before Jan 1, 2027?
30 dated claims from 13 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 11 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Macro
Who will IPO before 2027? (Anthropic)
30 dated claims from 10 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 26 point toward YES and 1 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will Mike Johnson announce their departure as U.S. Representative before Jan 1, 2027?
30 dated claims from 13 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 8 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Tech
Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Nov 27, 2026?
30 dated claims from 13 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 10 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot