MarketClaimsThe public research desk
Kalshi research briefs
126 published briefs on Kalshi markets, each with its dated claims, the publishers behind them and the venue's own settlement wording.
Research only. Not financial advice. No trades are placed.
126 published briefs · Page 5 of 11
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Politics
Will Thomas Massie vote for a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth?
30 dated claims from 14 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 17 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 3% and 6%? (Mary Peltola, 3-6%)
30 dated claims from 9 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 8 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth? (Before Nov 21, 2026)
30 dated claims from 16 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 21 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 10% and 12%? (Nithya Raman, 10-12%)
30 dated claims from 15 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 10 point toward YES and 2 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will the Prime Minister of Canada announce lower tariffs on U.S. goods before Jan 1, 2027?
30 dated claims from 11 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 6 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 8 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 10%? (Nithya Raman, ≥10%)
30 dated claims from 14 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 3 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 8 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will the number of Republican Representatives voting Yea on the first House vote on adopting a resolution or article impeaching Pete Hegseth be at least 1 before Jan 3, 2027?
30 dated claims from 16 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 17 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 8 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will Mississippi be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?
30 dated claims from 13 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 8 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 8 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will Maxine Waters be Chair of House Financial Services?
30 dated claims from 5 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 6 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 8 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Macro
Will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO before Jan 1, 2027?
30 dated claims from 16 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 8 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 8 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will Samuel Alito announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Oct 1, 2027?
30 dated claims from 6 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 10 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 8 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will Democrats win all four? (Democratic sweep)
30 dated claims from 17 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 8 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 8 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot