MarketClaimsThe public research desk
Kalshi research briefs
126 published briefs on Kalshi markets, each with its dated claims, the publishers behind them and the venue's own settlement wording.
Research only. Not financial advice. No trades are placed.
126 published briefs · Page 7 of 11
-
Politics
Will at least 20 Democrats vote against Jeffries on the first Speaker ballot?
30 dated claims from 15 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 7 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 7 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
-
Politics
Will the Knesset approve a new government with both Likud and Yashar before Feb 1, 2027?
30 dated claims from 16 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 8 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 7 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
-
Politics
Will the Department of Defense or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthrop
30 dated claims from 18 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 10 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 7 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
-
Politics
Will the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave be at least 1 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027?
30 dated claims from 14 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 5 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 7 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
-
Politics
Will the Knesset elect a Speaker before Jan 1, 2027?
30 dated claims from 4 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 16 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 7 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
-
Politics
Will it be reported by the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives that Ilhan Omar casts a recorded vote in the U.S. House of Representatives before Dec 1, 2026? (Yes)
30 dated claims from 8 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 6 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 7 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
-
Politics
Will it be reported by a Source Agency that NHS England, the UK government, or another legally authorized contracting entity formally decides to end the NHS Federated Data Platform and Associated Serv
30 dated claims from 6 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 5 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 7 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
-
Politics
Will Trump state that he has fired Lisa Cook before Dec 1, 2026?
30 dated claims from 18 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 20 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 6 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
-
Politics
Will the U.S. and Iran hold a China-mediated meeting before Feb 1, 2027?
30 dated claims from 11 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 2 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 6 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
-
Politics
Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 42 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?
30 dated claims from 13 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 5 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 6 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
-
Politics
Will Elizabeth Warren be Chair of Senate Banking?
30 dated claims from 9 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 10 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 6 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
-
Politics
Will Brooklyn Beckham be seen in public with David or Victoria Beckham this year? (Yes)
30 dated claims from 13 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 13 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 6 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot