MarketClaimsThe public research desk
Kalshi research briefs
126 published briefs on Kalshi markets, each with its dated claims, the publishers behind them and the venue's own settlement wording.
Research only. Not financial advice. No trades are placed.
126 published briefs · Page 9 of 11
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Politics
Will the U.S. and Iran hold a senior-level meeting before Dec 1, 2026?
30 dated claims from 17 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 14 point toward YES and 2 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 5 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will the U.S. government sue Ilhan Omar to revoke her U.S. citizenship before 2027? (Before Jan 2027)
30 dated claims from 7 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 3 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 5 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will James Talarico receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Dallas County, Texas?
30 dated claims from 16 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 4 point toward YES and 1 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 5 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Kansas be decided by 5 percentage points or less?
30 dated claims from 6 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 3 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 5 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 1, 2027?
30 dated claims from 11 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 9 point toward YES and 1 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 5 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will Jon Ossoff announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?
30 dated claims from 12 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 3 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 5 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will any current member of the Democratic Senate caucus (including independents who caucus with Democrats) publicly states that Chuck Schumer should step down, resign, or be replaced as Senate Democra
30 dated claims from 10 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 2 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 5 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will Dan S. Sullivan receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
30 dated claims from 9 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 21 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 4 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will Pete Hegseth announce their departure as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026?
30 dated claims from 16 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 15 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 4 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Macro
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $115.01 by Dec 31, 2026? ($115.01 or above)
30 dated claims from 8 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 6 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 4 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027?
30 dated claims from 15 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 9 point toward YES and 1 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 4 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026?
30 dated claims from 16 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 12 point toward YES and 1 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 4 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot