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The MarketClaims Brief · Published research

Will the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth? (Before Nov 21, 2026)

30 dated claims from 16 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 21 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.

Politics brief. Evidence collected, research dated and published .

This is an older research snapshot. It may miss subsequent developments.

What the evidence does

21
Toward yes
0
Against yes
9
Context

16 publishers6 Nov to 8 Nov 2026Evidence collected

How this market settles

If the House has conducted any recorded vote on any resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth, any motion to table, refer, or postpone such a resolution, or any special rule that specifically refers to such a resolution after Issuance and before Nov 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This includes: Roll call votes Recorded votes Yea-and-nay votes Electronic votes (in the House) Division/standing votes The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Voice votes where individual member positions are not recorded, including a motion to table, refer, or postpone that is agreed to by voice vote Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote Votes in committee, including any vote of the House Judiciary Committee Procedural determinations by the presiding officer, including a ruling on whether a resolution is privileged, and any vote on an appeal of such a ruling Deemed passage without an actual vote A Member giving notice of intent to offer, reading, or introducing a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth A vote on adjourning or recessing, or on any special rule or other measure that does not specifically refer to a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth A vote on an amendment to a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth A vote on a resolution that only authorizes or directs an impeachment inquiry or investigation of Pete Hegseth For clarity, each of the following DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion, whatever the outcome of the vote: A vote on adopting a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth, or on any article of it A vote on a motion to table, refer, or postpone a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth A vote on whether the House will consider a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth, or on ordering the previous question on it A vote on a special rule that specifically refers to a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth, including ordering the previous question on that rule, whether the rule provides for the resolution's consideration, lays it on the table, refers it, or delays or waives

What could still go wrong

  • The phrase 'after Issuance' is not given a precise timestamp, creating ambiguity about whether votes occurring very close to the market creation date qualify.
  • The term 'specifically refers to' a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth in the context of special rules may be subject to interpretive dispute depending on how explicitly a rule names or incorporates such a resolution.
  • Division/standing votes are listed as qualifying but these are typically not fully recorded by individual member — potential conflict with the requirement that individual member positions be recorded (as stated for voice votes exclusion).
  • No explicit official source or tracking mechanism is specified for confirming that a qualifying vote has occurred.

Evidence you can inspect These labels describe how a claim relates to the question. They are not recommendations or independent votes.

Evidence supporting YES 21 claims

  • Source publicationfatelephant.compublished
    Toward yes

    House Un-Democrat Leader Hakeem Jeffries stated he is a hard "yes" on impeaching Pete Hegseth

    fatelephant.com published
  • Toward yes

    House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries supports impeaching Secretary of War Pete Hegseth and stated he will "absolutely vote yes" on the measure

    القدس العربي published
  • Toward yes

    House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries stated on ABC News that he is "a hard yes" on impeaching Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth

    WKJC FM 104.7 published
  • Source publicationQuartzpublished
    Toward yes

    Representative Thomas Massie plans to force a vote in the House to remove Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth when Congress returns in November

    Quartz published
  • Source publicationNew York Postpublished
    Toward yes

    House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries stated on ABC's "This Week" that he is a "hard yes" on impeaching Secretary of War Pete Hegseth

    New York Post published
  • Toward yes

    The House is scheduled to vote next week on impeachment articles against Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, which were filed by Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY)

    Washington Examiner published
  • Source publicationWKJC FM 104.7published
    Toward yes

    Hakeem Jeffries believes there will be "incredibly strong support" for the resolution to impeach Pete Hegseth among House Democrats

    WKJC FM 104.7 published
  • Toward yes

    Republican Rep. Thomas Massie plans to press for consideration of his impeachment resolution against Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth during the week of November 9th

    International Business Times UK published
  • Source publicationQuartzpublished
    Toward yes

    The removal of Pete Hegseth would only require a simple majority in the House, according to CNN

    Quartz published
  • Toward yes

    The reason for cutting short the session appeared to be that Republican Rep. Thomas Massie of Kentucky was planning to force a vote on impeaching Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, and there was a belief it would pass

    Yahoo published
  • Source publicationWashington Examinerpublished
    Toward yes

    Comer declined to support Secretary of War Pete Hegseth as an impeachment vote against the secretary is approaching

    Washington Examiner published
  • Source publicationYahoopublished
    Toward yes

    Another House Republican indicated that many Republicans, including those who lost re-election and those displeased with Hegseth's testimony, would support his impeachment

    Yahoo published
  • Source publicationCrooks and Liarspublished
    Toward yes

    Outgoing Kentucky Republican House Rep. Thomas Massie has vowed to lead an impeachment charge against Pete Hegseth

    Crooks and Liars published
  • Source publicationYahoopublished
    Toward yes

    A House Republican told MS NOW that they believe the numbers are sufficient to pass the impeachment resolution and that they would be 'inclined' to support it, stating, 'I think he's been incompetent. It's been all about bravado and not about strategy

    Yahoo published
  • Toward yes

    Gallego expressed confidence that House members would support impeachment efforts against Hegseth, but told Tapper it was "tough" to imagine the Senate getting fully on board

    Yahoo News published
  • Source publicationfatelephant.compublished
    Toward yes

    Hakeem Jeffries indicated that there would be "incredibly strong support" for the impeachment resolution against Pete Hegseth

    fatelephant.com published
  • Source publicationfatelephant.compublished
    Toward yes

    Hakeem Jeffries said, "The so-called Secretary of Defense has abused his power, undermined our national security and engineered this reckless and costly war of choice in Iran, which has skyrocketed prices for the American people and made the country less safe," and added, "Pete Hegseth has got to go

    fatelephant.com published
  • Toward yes

    Rep. James Clyburn indicated that Pete Hegseth and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. should be made to account for their actions

    Breitbart published
  • Source publicationBreitbartpublished
    Toward yes

    When asked if Secretaries Pete Hegseth and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. should be impeached, Rep. James Clyburn answered, "Those two? Yes. Absolutely

    Breitbart published
  • Source publicationBreitbartpublished
    Toward yes

    Rep. James Clyburn believes that the vast majority of the United States Senate is upset with Pete Hegseth for "what he's doing to eradicate women from leadership positions in our military, getting rid of African Americans

    Breitbart published
  • Source publicationBreitbartpublished
    Toward yes

    On CNN's "Situation Room," Rep. James Clyburn stated that Secretaries Pete Hegseth and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. should "Absolutely" be impeached

    Breitbart published

Evidence challenging YES 0 claims

No claims in this category. Absence here is a coverage limit, not a finding.

Context 9 claims

  • Context

    House Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries supports an impeachment procedure against US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth

    Het Laatste Nieuws published
  • Source publicationinfobaepublished
    Context

    Hakeem Jeffries, the leader of the Democrats in the House of Representatives, endorsed an impeachment trial against the United States Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth, on Sunday

    infobae published
  • Source publicationShekullipublished
    Context

    Hakeem Jeffries, the leading candidate to lead the U.S. House of Representatives after Democrats take control of Congress in January, stated that he "fully agrees" with initiating impeachment proceedings against Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth

    Shekulli published
  • Source publicationWashington Examinerpublished
    Context

    House Oversight Chairman James Comer (R-KY) has stated that there are "a lot of questions" regarding Secretary of War Pete Hegseth

    Washington Examiner published
  • Source publicationYahoopublished
    Context

    House Oversight Committee Chair James Comer told NewsNation that he is confident 'there's a lot of questions about Hegseth' among his colleagues, particularly regarding his handling of the war with Iran

    Yahoo published
  • Context

    House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries questioned Pete Hegseth's continued tenure, writing on X, "Why is Pete Hegseth still around?

    Arutz Sheva Israel News published
  • Source publicationWashington Examinerpublished
    Context

    These election results have intensified scrutiny on Secretary of War Pete Hegseth and his involvement in the conflict

    Washington Examiner published
  • Context

    Twitter users applauded Nicole Wallace's takedown of Pete Hegseth

    The Poke published
  • Source publicationfatelephant.compublished
    Context

    The article suggests that the impeachment of Pete Hegseth is an attempt to handicap the administration and dehumanize Republicans to prevent them from winning future elections

    fatelephant.com published

Who reported it 16 publishers, each setting its own name

  • Breitbart 4
  • fatelephant.com 4
  • Washington Examiner 4
  • Yahoo 4
  • Quartz 2
  • WKJC FM 104.7 2
  • Arutz Sheva Israel News 1
  • Crooks and Liars 1
  • Het Laatste Nieuws 1
  • infobae 1
  • International Business Times UK 1
  • New York Post 1
  • Shekulli 1
  • The Poke 1
  • Yahoo News 1
  • القدس العربي 1

What this brief cannot settle

This brief was assembled automatically from a research report that met a published quality bar. No individual review. It rests on 30 claims from 16 publishers; anything not reported in those sources is not represented here. The report recorded 4 resolution risks, listed with this brief.

Since the previous brief

Publication history (2 recorded revisions)
  1. Published · research dated
  2. Published · research dated

Compared with research dated

This revision replaces research dated 5 November 2026 with research dated 9 November 2026. 25 of 25 cited sources are new; 0 are carried over.

More published research