MarketClaimsThe public research desk
Economy research briefs
22 published economy briefs, each with its dated claims, the publishers behind them and the venue's own settlement wording.
Research only. Not financial advice. No trades are placed.
22 published briefs · Page 1 of 2
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Economy
MPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
30 dated claims from 5 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 15 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 13 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated
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Economy
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?
30 dated claims from 14 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 25 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 12 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated
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Economy
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
30 dated claims from 10 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 3 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 12 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated
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Economy
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
30 dated claims from 12 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 1 point toward YES and 7 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 12 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated
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Economy
Colombia wage growth minus inflation above 4.00 pp in 2027?
18 dated claims from 8 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 3 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 11 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated
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Economy
Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?
30 dated claims from 7 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 8 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 11 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated
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Economy
Will average gas prices go above $4.30 by Nov 30, 2026?
30 dated claims from 9 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 16 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Economy
When will OpenAI IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)
30 dated claims from 6 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 7 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Economy
Will Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026 be exactly 1ㅤ?
30 dated claims from 9 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 16 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Economy
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?
30 dated claims from 7 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 7 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Economy
Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp hike AND dissents be 0 for Dec 2026? (Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0)
30 dated claims from 13 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 12 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Economy
Will the number of rate changes before 2027 be exactly 1?
30 dated claims from 7 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 4 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 9 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot