MarketClaimsThe public research desk
Kalshi research briefs
126 published briefs on Kalshi markets, each with its dated claims, the publishers behind them and the venue's own settlement wording.
Research only. Not financial advice. No trades are placed.
126 published briefs · Page 2 of 11
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Politics
How many Elon-backed non-incumbents will win seats in Congress in 2026? (At least 50)
30 dated claims from 12 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 19 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 11 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated
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Politics
Will Trump, Xi and Putin meet together before Jan 1, 2027?
30 dated claims from 13 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 20 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated
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Crypto
XRP price on Jan 1, 2027? ($0.7500 - $0.9999)
30 dated claims from 8 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 10 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated
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Politics
Will Gadi Eisenkot win the first election for Speaker of the Knesset after the Oct 27, 2026 Knesset election?
30 dated claims from 17 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 11 point toward YES and 1 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated
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Politics
Will the number of articles of impeachment against Pete Hegseth that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 1 before Jan 1, 2027?
30 dated claims from 16 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 1 point toward YES and 5 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated
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Tech
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?
30 dated claims from 16 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 15 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated
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Macro
Will Uber Eats app downloads for November 2026 be above 106.5 ?
30 dated claims from 13 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 11 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated
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Politics
Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be above 44% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub?
30 dated claims from 12 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 18 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will Hakeem Jeffries be elected Speaker on the first ballot at the opening of the 120th Congress? (Yes)
30 dated claims from 11 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 8 point toward YES and 1 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that PAHO's Regional Verification Commission (RVC) determines that endemic measles transmission has been re-established in the United States before Ja
26 dated claims from 7 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 8 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Economy
Will average gas prices go above $4.30 by Nov 30, 2026?
30 dated claims from 9 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 16 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Economy
When will OpenAI IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)
30 dated claims from 6 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 7 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot