MarketClaimsThe public research desk
Polymarket research briefs
89 published briefs on Polymarket markets, each with its dated claims, the publishers behind them and the venue's own settlement wording.
Research only. Not financial advice. No trades are placed.
89 published briefs · Page 4 of 8
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Tech
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?
30 dated claims from 7 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 28 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 8 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027?
30 dated claims from 10 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 20 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 7 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Tech
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
30 dated claims from 16 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 5 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 7 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% in 2026?
30 dated claims from 9 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 15 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 7 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Geopolitics
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by June 30, 2027?
30 dated claims from 14 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 7 point toward YES and 1 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 7 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Geopolitics
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
30 dated claims from 9 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 19 point toward YES and 1 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 7 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Geopolitics
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
30 dated claims from 16 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 17 point toward YES and 2 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 7 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Geopolitics
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
30 dated claims from 14 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 9 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 7 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Crypto
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
30 dated claims from 10 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 9 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 6 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Geopolitics
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
30 dated claims from 12 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 14 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 5 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?
30 dated claims from 15 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 16 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 5 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Tech
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
30 dated claims from 11 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 5 point toward YES and 1 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 4 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot