MarketClaimsThe public research desk
Politics research briefs
134 published politics briefs, each with its dated claims, the publishers behind them and the venue's own settlement wording.
Research only. Not financial advice. No trades are placed.
134 published briefs · Page 2 of 12
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Politics
Will adoption of a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth receive above 210 Yea votes in the House?
30 dated claims from 8 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 3 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 11 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated
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Politics
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Senate has begun an impeachment trial of Pete Hegseth before Jul 1, 2027?
30 dated claims from 13 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 8 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 11 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated
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Politics
Will the White House announce an end to its press ban before Jan 1, 2027?
30 dated claims from 16 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 6 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 11 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated
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Politics
Will Chuck Schumer be reelected Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress by voice vote or acclamation? (Yes)
30 dated claims from 10 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 6 point toward YES and 1 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 11 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated
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Politics
How many Elon-backed non-incumbents will win seats in Congress in 2026? (At least 50)
30 dated claims from 12 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 19 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 11 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated
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Politics
Will Trump, Xi and Putin meet together before Jan 1, 2027?
30 dated claims from 13 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 20 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated
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Politics
Will Gadi Eisenkot win the first election for Speaker of the Knesset after the Oct 27, 2026 Knesset election?
30 dated claims from 17 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 11 point toward YES and 1 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated
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Politics
Will the number of articles of impeachment against Pete Hegseth that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 1 before Jan 1, 2027?
30 dated claims from 16 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 1 point toward YES and 5 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated
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Politics
Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be above 44% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub?
30 dated claims from 12 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 18 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will Hakeem Jeffries be elected Speaker on the first ballot at the opening of the 120th Congress? (Yes)
30 dated claims from 11 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 8 point toward YES and 1 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that PAHO's Regional Verification Commission (RVC) determines that endemic measles transmission has been re-established in the United States before Ja
26 dated claims from 7 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 8 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet in person before Jan 1, 2027?
30 dated claims from 10 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 11 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 10 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot