MarketClaimsThe public research desk
Polymarket research briefs
89 published briefs on Polymarket markets, each with its dated claims, the publishers behind them and the venue's own settlement wording.
Research only. Not financial advice. No trades are placed.
89 published briefs · Page 6 of 8
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Geopolitics
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
30 dated claims from 12 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 12 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 3 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Geopolitics
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?
30 dated claims from 17 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 14 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 3 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
30 dated claims from 8 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 10 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 3 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
30 dated claims from 11 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 14 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 3 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
30 dated claims from 8 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 1 point toward YES and 5 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 3 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Science
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
30 dated claims from 13 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 7 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 3 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
30 dated claims from 7 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 15 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 3 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Geopolitics
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2027?
30 dated claims from 8 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 6 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 3 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Geopolitics
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30, 2027?
30 dated claims from 13 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 6 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 2 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Tech
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?
26 dated claims from 15 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 7 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 2 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Politics
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
30 dated claims from 8 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 2 point toward YES and 0 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 2 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot
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Economy
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
30 dated claims from 5 publishers are collected below, each with its source. 0 point toward YES and 8 against it; the rest are context. The research behind this brief is dated 1 November 2026. No direction or probability is published here: the claims and their sources are the brief.
Research dated , an older snapshot